NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CMU KENT
Points 65.8 71.3
Total Points   137.1
Points From 2-Pointers 35.6 31.2
Points From 3-Pointers 18.5 26.0
Points From Free Throws 11.7 14.1
Shooting CMU KENT
Field Goals Made 24.0 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 57.3 62.0
Field Goal % 41.8% 39.2%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 15.6
2 Pointers Attempted 35.9 35.0
2 Point Shooting % 49.7% 44.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 21.4 27.0
3 Point Shooting % 28.7% 32.2%
Free Throws Made 11.7 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 17.4 19.2
Free Throw % 67.1% 73.1%
Ball Control CMU KENT
Rebounds 36.9 39.8
Rebounds - Defensive 26.7 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 13.6
Turnovers 11.3 9.0
Blocked Shots 3.5 3.0
Steals 4.7 5.4
Fouls 14.3 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Kent St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CMU KENT
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 68.3 74.0
% of Possessions with CMU KENT
2 Point Attempt 44.4% 41.5%
3 Point Attempt 26.5% 31.9%
Player Fouled 21.0% 20.5%
Turnover 16.3% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken CMU KENT
Shot Blocked 4.9% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 28.1% 33.8%