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Nicholls at Baylor
Tue Nov 28, 2023
8:00pm ET
Waco, TX
Nicholls at Baylor: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Baylor by 26.5, Total Points: 154
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | NICH | adv | BAY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 20-11-0 | 20-12-2 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 14-7-0 | 11-8-1 | |
| Streak | W5 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 6-3-0 | 10-5-1 | |
| Away | 14-8-0 | 10-7-1 |
Nicholls Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Tulane | +13.0 | L by 10 | +3.0 |
| 11/10 | Away | LSU | +19.5 | W by 2 | +21.5 |
| 11/15 | Neutral | Denver | -1.0 | L by 6 | -7.0 |
| 11/16 | Away | S Alabama | +7.5 | W by 5 | +12.5 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | SIU Edward | +5.5 | L by 9 | -3.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | Blue Mountain College | -- | W by 30 | -- |
| 11/24 | Away | Miss State | +23.0 | L by 13 | +10.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Baylor | +26.5 | L by 38 | -11.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | LA Tech | +13.5 | L by 13 | +0.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Elizabeth City St. | -- | W by 14 | -- |
| 12/19 | Away | Maryland | +19.5 | L by 6 | +13.5 |
| 12/22 | Away | Towson | +9.0 | L by 10 | -1.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Mobile | -- | W by 9 | -- |
| 01/06 | Away | Hsn Christian | -6.0 | W by 4 | -2.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | SE Louisiana | -4.0 | W by 5 | +1.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Lamar | -2.5 | L by 2 | -4.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | New Orleans | -4.0 | W by 3 | -1.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | TX A&M-CC | +5.5 | L by 10 | -4.5 |
| 01/22 | Away | Incar Word | -3.0 | W by 4 | +1.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | TX A&M-Com | +2.0 | W by 3 | +5.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Hsn Christian | -9.0 | W by 10 | +1.0 |
| 02/05 | Home | NW State | -6.0 | W by 7 | +1.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Lamar | +5.5 | L by 19 | -13.5 |
| 02/12 | Home | TX A&M-CC | +3.0 | W by 4 | +7.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | McNeese St | +14.0 | L by 27 | -13.0 |
| 02/19 | Away | New Orleans | -1.5 | W by 12 | +10.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | TX A&M-Com | -9.0 | W by 15 | +6.0 |
| 02/26 | Home | Incar Word | -9.5 | W by 10 | +0.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | McNeese St | +18.0 | L by 21 | -3.0 |
| 03/04 | Away | NW State | -2.0 | W by 6 | +4.0 |
| 03/07 | Away | SE Louisiana | +3.5 | W by 26 | +29.5 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | TX A&M-Com | -6.0 | W by 21 | +15.0 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | TX A&M-CC | +4.5 | W by 8 | +12.5 |
| 03/13 | Away | McNeese St | +16.5 | L by 16 | +0.5 |
Baylor Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Neutral | Auburn | +2.0 | W by 6 | +8.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | John Brown | -- | W by 26 | -- |
| 11/12 | Home | Gard-Webb | -22.5 | W by 15 | -7.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Kansas City | -24.5 | W by 38 | +13.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Oregon St | -16.0 | W by 16 | 0.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Florida | -3.0 | W by 4 | +1.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Nicholls | -26.5 | W by 38 | +11.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | NW State | -34.0 | W by 51 | +17.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Seton Hall | -11.0 | W by 18 | +7.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Michigan St | -3.5 | L by 24 | -27.5 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Duke | +2.0 | L by 8 | -6.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Miss Val St | -40.5 | W by 59 | +18.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Cornell | -16.0 | W by 19 | +3.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Oklahoma St | -4.0 | W by 5 | +1.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | BYU | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Cincinnati | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Kansas St | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Texas | +2.5 | L by 2 | +0.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | TX Christian | -4.0 | L by 3 | -7.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | UCF | -3.5 | W by 8 | +4.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Iowa St | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Texas Tech | -6.0 | W by 6 | 0.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Kansas | +5.5 | L by 3 | +2.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Oklahoma | -7.0 | W by 17 | +10.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | W Virginia | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 02/20 | Away | BYU | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Houston | +2.5 | L by 6 | -3.5 |
| 02/26 | Away | TX Christian | +2.5 | W by 8 | +10.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Kansas | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | Texas | -7.0 | W by 8 | +1.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Texas Tech | +2.0 | L by 10 | -8.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Cincinnati | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Iowa St | +2.0 | L by 14 | -12.0 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Colgate | -14.5 | W by 25 | +10.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Clemson | -4.5 | L by 8 | -12.5 |
| BAY -26.5 | Open | -26.5 | High | -26.5 |
| Last | -26.0 | Low | -24.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 259 games where the closing line favored the home team by 25.5 to 27.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Baylor won the game 257 times (99.2%).
- The team like Nicholls State won the game 2 times (0.8%).
- The team like Baylor did better against the spread, going 136-118-5 (53.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3434 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Baylor did better against the spread, going 1692-1679-63 (50.2% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -- | -26.5 | -- |
| Open | -- | -25.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/28 10:00 AM | -- | -26.5 | -- |
| 11/28 08:30 AM | -- | -25.5 | -- |
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