NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NICH BAY
Points 66.3 87.5
Total Points   153.8
Points From 2-Pointers 30.6 40.4
Points From 3-Pointers 22.3 25.5
Points From Free Throws 13.4 21.6
Shooting NICH BAY
Field Goals Made 22.7 28.7
Field Goals Attempted 54.4 54.9
Field Goal % 41.7% 52.3%
2 Pointers Made 15.3 20.2
2 Pointers Attempted 33.6 32.8
2 Point Shooting % 45.5% 61.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 20.8 22.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 38.4%
Free Throws Made 13.4 21.6
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 29.5
Free Throw % 72.4% 73.1%
Ball Control NICH BAY
Rebounds 25.8 39.4
Rebounds - Defensive 19.2 27.8
Rebounds - Offensive 6.6 11.6
Turnovers 12.1 9.5
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.7
Steals 6.1 7.1
Fouls 19.1 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Nicholls

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NICH BAY
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 65.4 73.0
% of Possessions with NICH BAY
2 Point Attempt 42.6% 39.2%
3 Point Attempt 26.4% 26.4%
Player Fouled 21.2% 27.0%
Turnover 17.1% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 10.0% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken NICH BAY
Shot Blocked 6.9% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 19.1% 37.6%