NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NICH LT
Points 64.9 77.2
Total Points   142.2
Points From 2-Pointers 25.6 37.2
Points From 3-Pointers 24.6 20.3
Points From Free Throws 14.8 19.7
Shooting NICH LT
Field Goals Made 21.0 25.4
Field Goals Attempted 55.5 56.1
Field Goal % 37.8% 45.2%
2 Pointers Made 12.8 18.6
2 Pointers Attempted 33.9 36.8
2 Point Shooting % 37.8% 50.6%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 21.6 19.3
3 Point Shooting % 37.9% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 14.8 19.7
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 28.1
Free Throw % 72.4% 70.3%
Ball Control NICH LT
Rebounds 30.7 41.9
Rebounds - Defensive 22.9 29.3
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 12.6
Turnovers 11.6 10.0
Blocked Shots 3.3 5.7
Steals 6.2 7.1
Fouls 17.8 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Nicholls

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NICH LT
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 67.0 73.5
% of Possessions with NICH LT
2 Point Attempt 41.9% 43.4%
3 Point Attempt 26.7% 22.8%
Player Fouled 20.1% 25.2%
Turnover 16.4% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 10.1% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken NICH LT
Shot Blocked 10.2% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 20.9% 35.4%