NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EKY UNCG
Points 71.9 76.6
Total Points   148.5
Points From 2-Pointers 33.1 32.9
Points From 3-Pointers 23.9 31.5
Points From Free Throws 14.9 12.1
Shooting EKY UNCG
Field Goals Made 24.5 27.0
Field Goals Attempted 57.9 64.3
Field Goal % 42.4% 42.0%
2 Pointers Made 16.6 16.5
2 Pointers Attempted 36.6 39.5
2 Point Shooting % 45.2% 41.7%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 10.5
3 Pointers Attempted 21.2 24.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.5% 42.5%
Free Throws Made 14.9 12.1
Free Throws Attempted 21.5 16.7
Free Throw % 69.3% 72.8%
Ball Control EKY UNCG
Rebounds 38.1 38.4
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 25.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 12.7
Turnovers 9.9 8.4
Blocked Shots 4.2 2.4
Steals 4.5 6.3
Fouls 13.6 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: NC-Grnsboro

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EKY UNCG
Total Possessions 69.9
Effective Scoring Chances 71.4 74.2
% of Possessions with EKY UNCG
2 Point Attempt 44.5% 46.9%
3 Point Attempt 25.8% 29.3%
Player Fouled 21.3% 19.4%
Turnover 14.2% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken EKY UNCG
Shot Blocked 3.8% 7.4%
Offensive Rebound 30.8% 32.3%