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Vanderbilt at Arkansas
Tue Feb 27, 2024
9:00pm ET
Fayetteville, AR
Vanderbilt at Arkansas: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Arkansas by 10.5, Total Points: 143.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | VAN | adv | ARK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 15-16-1 | 12-21-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 10-8-1 | 8-12-0 | |
| Streak | W3 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 8-10-0 | 7-10-0 | |
| Away | 7-6-1 | 5-11-0 |
Vanderbilt Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | Presbyterian | -16.5 | L by 6 | -22.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | SC Upstate | -11.5 | W by 7 | -4.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | +1.0 | W by 4 | +5.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Central Ark | -19.5 | W by 4 | -15.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | NC State | +7.5 | L by 6 | +1.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Arizona St | +1.5 | L by 15 | -13.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Boston Col | -2.5 | L by 18 | -20.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Alab A&M | -18.5 | W by 19 | +0.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | San Francisco | +2.5 | L by 13 | -10.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Texas Tech | +7.5 | L by 22 | -14.5 |
| 12/19 | Home | W Carolina | -3.5 | L by 1 | -4.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | Memphis | +16.0 | L by 2 | +14.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Dartmouth | -13.5 | W by 16 | +2.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Alabama | +13.0 | L by 3 | +10.0 |
| 01/09 | Away | LSU | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Mississippi | +10.0 | L by 13 | -3.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Auburn | +11.0 | L by 15 | -4.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Miss State | +13.0 | L by 13 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Tennessee | +13.5 | L by 13 | +0.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Auburn | +18.5 | L by 27 | -8.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Missouri | +1.0 | W by 7 | +8.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Kentucky | +8.5 | L by 32 | -23.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | S Carolina | +11.5 | L by 15 | -3.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Texas A&M | +8.5 | W by 1 | +9.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Tennessee | +20.0 | L by 35 | -15.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Georgia | +1.0 | L by 12 | -11.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Florida | +15.0 | L by 13 | +2.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Arkansas | +10.5 | W by 3 | +13.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | LSU | +3.5 | L by 14 | -10.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Kentucky | +18.0 | L by 16 | +2.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Florida | +9.0 | W by 1 | +10.0 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Arkansas | +6.0 | L by 5 | +1.0 |
Arkansas Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Alcorn St | -28.5 | W by 34 | +5.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Gard-Webb | -24.0 | W by 18 | -6.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | Old Dominion | -20.0 | W by 9 | -11.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | -14.5 | L by 6 | -20.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Stanford | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Memphis | -1.0 | L by 5 | -6.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | N Carolina | +3.5 | L by 15 | -11.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Duke | +4.5 | W by 5 | +9.5 |
| 12/04 | Home | Furman | -11.5 | W by 14 | +2.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Oklahoma | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Lipscomb | -16.0 | W by 3 | -13.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Abl Christian | -14.5 | W by 10 | -4.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | NC-Wilmgton | -10.5 | W by 16 | +5.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Auburn | +2.5 | L by 32 | -29.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Georgia | +2.0 | L by 10 | -8.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Florida | +7.5 | L by 22 | -14.5 |
| 01/16 | Home | Texas A&M | +2.5 | W by 1 | +3.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | S Carolina | -3.0 | L by 13 | -16.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Mississippi | +8.5 | L by 26 | -17.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Kentucky | +5.5 | L by 6 | -0.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Missouri | +5.5 | W by 7 | +12.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | LSU | +5.0 | L by 21 | -16.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Georgia | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | Tennessee | +8.5 | L by 29 | -20.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Miss State | +11.0 | L by 4 | +7.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | Texas A&M | +11.5 | W by 7 | +18.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Missouri | -5.5 | W by 15 | +9.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Vanderbilt | -10.5 | L by 3 | -13.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Kentucky | +13.0 | L by 9 | +4.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | LSU | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Alabama | +15.5 | L by 4 | +11.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Vanderbilt | -6.0 | W by 5 | -1.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | S Carolina | +5.5 | L by 14 | -8.5 |
| ARK -10.5 | Open | -9.0 | High | -10.5 |
| Last | -10.0 | Low | -9.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2198 games where the closing line favored the home team by 9.5 to 11.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Arkansas won the game 1866 times (84.9%).
- The team like Vanderbilt won the game 332 times (15.1%).
- The team like Arkansas did better against the spread, going 1090-1082-26 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2058 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Arkansas did better against the spread, going 1028-992-38 (50.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -10.0 | -10.5 | -- |
| Open | -9.0 | -9.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 02/27 08:56 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 08:23 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 07:44 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 06:26 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 02/27 06:23 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 04:11 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 03:23 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 08:29 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 07:51 AM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 02/27 07:47 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 10:31 PM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 02/26 10:29 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 08:32 PM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 02/26 05:31 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 02:44 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
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