NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SIUE WIU
Points 64.6 68.5
Total Points   133.1
Points From 2-Pointers 35.4 35.7
Points From 3-Pointers 18.1 19.1
Points From Free Throws 11.1 13.8
Shooting SIUE WIU
Field Goals Made 23.7 24.2
Field Goals Attempted 63.8 55.9
Field Goal % 37.2% 43.3%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 43.7 38.4
2 Point Shooting % 40.5% 46.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 20.0 17.5
3 Point Shooting % 30.0% 36.4%
Free Throws Made 11.1 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 15.1 22.1
Free Throw % 73.2% 62.4%
Ball Control SIUE WIU
Rebounds 34.7 43.2
Rebounds - Defensive 23.5 30.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 12.8
Turnovers 7.6 11.6
Blocked Shots 4.3 5.1
Steals 6.6 4.2
Fouls 15.1 12.1

Playing Style Advantage: W Illinois

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SIUE WIU
Total Possessions 68.6
Effective Scoring Chances 72.2 69.8
% of Possessions with SIUE WIU
2 Point Attempt 53.5% 46.2%
3 Point Attempt 24.5% 21.1%
Player Fouled 17.7% 22.0%
Turnover 11.0% 16.9%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 9.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken SIUE WIU
Shot Blocked 9.3% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 26.9% 35.2%