NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COFC FAU
Points 78.4 81.6
Total Points   160.0
Points From 2-Pointers 36.3 43.2
Points From 3-Pointers 30.8 22.9
Points From Free Throws 11.3 15.4
Shooting COFC FAU
Field Goals Made 28.4 29.3
Field Goals Attempted 67.2 59.5
Field Goal % 42.3% 49.1%
2 Pointers Made 18.2 21.6
2 Pointers Attempted 37.7 37.7
2 Point Shooting % 48.2% 57.3%
3 Pointers Made 10.3 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 29.5 21.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 11.3 15.4
Free Throws Attempted 15.6 21.2
Free Throw % 72.3% 72.6%
Ball Control COFC FAU
Rebounds 37.4 37.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 13.1 9.3
Turnovers 9.1 9.7
Blocked Shots 2.1 2.9
Steals 5.0 6.1
Fouls 15.7 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: Col Charlestn

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COFC FAU
Total Possessions 73.1
Effective Scoring Chances 77.1 72.7
% of Possessions with COFC FAU
2 Point Attempt 43.2% 45.3%
3 Point Attempt 33.8% 26.2%
Player Fouled 17.9% 21.5%
Turnover 12.4% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken COFC FAU
Shot Blocked 4.9% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 31.9% 27.7%