NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHS L-IL
Points 58.9 74.7
Total Points   133.6
Points From 2-Pointers 28.0 38.0
Points From 3-Pointers 14.6 22.4
Points From Free Throws 16.4 14.2
Shooting CHS L-IL
Field Goals Made 18.9 26.5
Field Goals Attempted 53.0 52.4
Field Goal % 35.6% 50.6%
2 Pointers Made 14.0 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 36.0 32.0
2 Point Shooting % 38.9% 59.5%
3 Pointers Made 4.9 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 17.1 20.5
3 Point Shooting % 28.5% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 16.4 14.2
Free Throws Attempted 23.2 21.0
Free Throw % 70.5% 67.6%
Ball Control CHS L-IL
Rebounds 30.5 36.9
Rebounds - Defensive 20.1 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 9.7
Turnovers 12.7 13.4
Blocked Shots 3.4 4.8
Steals 7.6 6.7
Fouls 16.9 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHS L-IL
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 67.1 65.7
% of Possessions with CHS L-IL
2 Point Attempt 44.0% 39.7%
3 Point Attempt 20.9% 25.4%
Player Fouled 24.3% 24.3%
Turnover 18.2% 19.3%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 11.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHS L-IL
Shot Blocked 9.4% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 27.7% 32.4%