NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HOU OKLA
Points 73.3 59.8
Total Points   133.0
Points From 2-Pointers 39.4 23.7
Points From 3-Pointers 20.6 19.0
Points From Free Throws 13.3 17.1
Shooting HOU OKLA
Field Goals Made 26.6 18.2
Field Goals Attempted 60.6 48.1
Field Goal % 43.8% 37.8%
2 Pointers Made 19.7 11.8
2 Pointers Attempted 39.1 27.6
2 Point Shooting % 50.4% 42.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 21.5 20.4
3 Point Shooting % 31.9% 30.9%
Free Throws Made 13.3 17.1
Free Throws Attempted 18.7 23.3
Free Throw % 71.1% 73.5%
Ball Control HOU OKLA
Rebounds 35.5 34.5
Rebounds - Defensive 23.7 25.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 9.2
Turnovers 6.8 14.2
Blocked Shots 5.5 2.0
Steals 9.3 3.5
Fouls 17.1 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: Oklahoma

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HOU OKLA
Total Possessions 67.2
Effective Scoring Chances 72.2 62.2
% of Possessions with HOU OKLA
2 Point Attempt 49.0% 35.2%
3 Point Attempt 27.0% 26.0%
Player Fouled 20.5% 25.4%
Turnover 10.1% 21.2%
Opponent Steal 5.2% 13.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken HOU OKLA
Shot Blocked 4.2% 9.2%
Offensive Rebound 31.7% 27.9%