NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKST CIN
Points 65.4 77.2
Total Points   142.5
Points From 2-Pointers 31.1 46.6
Points From 3-Pointers 21.5 20.6
Points From Free Throws 12.8 10.0
Shooting OKST CIN
Field Goals Made 22.7 30.2
Field Goals Attempted 56.5 63.5
Field Goal % 40.2% 47.5%
2 Pointers Made 15.6 23.3
2 Pointers Attempted 34.4 42.9
2 Point Shooting % 45.3% 54.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 22.1 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 32.4% 33.3%
Free Throws Made 12.8 10.0
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 14.5
Free Throw % 71.2% 68.9%
Ball Control OKST CIN
Rebounds 31.4 40.5
Rebounds - Defensive 23.3 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.1 12.5
Turnovers 11.6 9.8
Blocked Shots 2.5 4.8
Steals 5.5 7.2
Fouls 12.6 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: Oklahoma St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKST CIN
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 66.9 73.0
% of Possessions with OKST CIN
2 Point Attempt 42.8% 51.2%
3 Point Attempt 27.5% 24.5%
Player Fouled 19.0% 17.9%
Turnover 16.5% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 10.3% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKST CIN
Shot Blocked 7.7% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 34.8%