NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MCNS UAB
Points 74.6 74.1
Total Points   148.7
Points From 2-Pointers 37.6 33.7
Points From 3-Pointers 22.1 22.2
Points From Free Throws 14.9 18.3
Shooting MCNS UAB
Field Goals Made 26.1 24.2
Field Goals Attempted 59.1 53.1
Field Goal % 44.3% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 18.8 16.8
2 Pointers Attempted 39.7 31.2
2 Point Shooting % 47.3% 53.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 19.4 21.9
3 Point Shooting % 38.0% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 14.9 18.3
Free Throws Attempted 21.6 24.6
Free Throw % 69.1% 74.3%
Ball Control MCNS UAB
Rebounds 31.8 37.0
Rebounds - Defensive 20.9 25.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 11.3
Turnovers 8.8 12.6
Blocked Shots 3.9 4.1
Steals 8.3 4.4
Fouls 18.0 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: UAB

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MCNS UAB
Total Possessions 69.8
Effective Scoring Chances 71.8 68.5
% of Possessions with MCNS UAB
2 Point Attempt 48.2% 37.8%
3 Point Attempt 23.5% 26.4%
Player Fouled 21.6% 25.8%
Turnover 12.6% 18.1%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 11.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken MCNS UAB
Shot Blocked 7.9% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 29.7% 35.1%