NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKST TLSA
Points 74.1 69.9
Total Points   144.0
Points From 2-Pointers 33.3 37.6
Points From 3-Pointers 25.0 18.4
Points From Free Throws 15.8 13.9
Shooting OKST TLSA
Field Goals Made 25.0 24.9
Field Goals Attempted 56.1 55.6
Field Goal % 44.6% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made 16.7 18.8
2 Pointers Attempted 30.7 35.6
2 Point Shooting % 54.3% 52.7%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 25.4 20.0
3 Point Shooting % 32.8% 30.8%
Free Throws Made 15.8 13.9
Free Throws Attempted 22.2 18.9
Free Throw % 71.2% 73.6%
Ball Control OKST TLSA
Rebounds 36.4 31.8
Rebounds - Defensive 26.8 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 6.7
Turnovers 11.9 11.7
Blocked Shots 2.0 2.6
Steals 6.3 8.2
Fouls 15.7 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Tulsa

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKST TLSA
Total Possessions 72.3
Effective Scoring Chances 70.0 67.3
% of Possessions with OKST TLSA
2 Point Attempt 37.0% 44.7%
3 Point Attempt 30.6% 25.0%
Player Fouled 21.8% 21.7%
Turnover 16.5% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 11.3% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKST TLSA
Shot Blocked 4.7% 3.6%
Offensive Rebound 27.7% 20.0%