NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKST SIU
Points 70.6 71.8
Total Points   142.4
Points From 2-Pointers 39.5 36.5
Points From 3-Pointers 15.6 22.5
Points From Free Throws 15.5 12.8
Shooting OKST SIU
Field Goals Made 25.0 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 52.2 55.3
Field Goal % 47.8% 46.6%
2 Pointers Made 19.8 18.2
2 Pointers Attempted 35.1 33.2
2 Point Shooting % 56.2% 55.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.2 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 17.1 22.1
3 Point Shooting % 30.3% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 15.5 12.8
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 16.6
Free Throw % 71.2% 77.2%
Ball Control OKST SIU
Rebounds 31.9 30.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 23.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 7.2
Turnovers 10.5 10.3
Blocked Shots 3.4 2.9
Steals 5.4 6.0
Fouls 15.0 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Oklahoma St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKST SIU
Total Possessions 68.2
Effective Scoring Chances 65.4 65.1
% of Possessions with OKST SIU
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 43.3%
3 Point Attempt 22.2% 28.8%
Player Fouled 24.9% 22.0%
Turnover 15.4% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKST SIU
Shot Blocked 5.3% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 25.1% 22.9%