NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HARV YALE
Points 64.1 72.7
Total Points   136.8
Points From 2-Pointers 29.5 38.2
Points From 3-Pointers 21.5 23.4
Points From Free Throws 13.1 11.1
Shooting HARV YALE
Field Goals Made 21.9 26.9
Field Goals Attempted 54.0 61.1
Field Goal % 40.6% 44.0%
2 Pointers Made 14.7 19.1
2 Pointers Attempted 32.0 39.2
2 Point Shooting % 46.1% 48.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 22.1 21.9
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 13.1 11.1
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 15.9
Free Throw % 69.8% 69.8%
Ball Control HARV YALE
Rebounds 33.5 37.9
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 10.3
Turnovers 10.9 8.4
Blocked Shots 3.8 4.5
Steals 5.1 6.2
Fouls 13.4 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Harvard

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HARV YALE
Total Possessions 68.5
Effective Scoring Chances 64.9 70.4
% of Possessions with HARV YALE
2 Point Attempt 41.2% 48.8%
3 Point Attempt 28.4% 27.3%
Player Fouled 21.2% 19.6%
Turnover 15.9% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken HARV YALE
Shot Blocked 7.5% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 20.8% 28.2%