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Iowa St at UCF
Sat Mar 2, 2024
4:00pm ET
Orlando, FL
Iowa St at UCF: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Iowa State by 3.5, Total Points: 133
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ISU | adv | UCF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 25-11-1 | 19-14-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 14-6-1 | 13-7-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 14-4-0 | 12-7-0 | |
| Away | 11-7-1 | 7-7-0 |
Iowa St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | WI-Grn Bay | -28.5 | W by 41 | +12.5 |
| 11/09 | Home | Lindenwood | -32.5 | W by 55 | +22.5 |
| 11/12 | Home | Idaho St | -27.0 | W by 31 | +4.0 |
| 11/19 | Home | Grambling St | -27.5 | W by 55 | +27.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | VCU | -11.5 | W by 4 | -7.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | VA Tech | -5.5 | L by 9 | -14.5 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | Texas A&M | -3.5 | L by 4 | -7.5 |
| 12/01 | Away | DePaul | -14.5 | W by 19 | +4.5 |
| 12/07 | Home | Iowa | -8.0 | W by 25 | +17.0 |
| 12/10 | Home | Prairie View | -27.5 | W by 51 | +23.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | Florida A&M | -36.0 | W by 38 | +2.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | E Illinois | -31.5 | W by 32 | +0.5 |
| 12/31 | Home | N Hampshire | -28.0 | W by 15 | -13.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Oklahoma | +2.0 | L by 8 | -6.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | Houston | +2.5 | W by 4 | +6.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Oklahoma St | -12.5 | W by 24 | +11.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | BYU | +4.0 | L by 15 | -11.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | TX Christian | +5.0 | W by 1 | +6.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Kansas St | -8.5 | W by 11 | +2.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Kansas | -4.5 | W by 4 | -0.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Baylor | +4.0 | L by 2 | +2.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | Texas | +1.5 | W by 5 | +6.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | TX Christian | -8.0 | W by 12 | +4.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Cincinnati | +1.5 | W by 9 | +10.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Texas Tech | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 02/19 | Away | Houston | +8.0 | L by 8 | 0.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | W Virginia | -18.0 | W by 7 | -11.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Oklahoma | -9.5 | W by 13 | +3.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | UCF | -3.5 | W by 8 | +4.5 |
| 03/06 | Home | BYU | -7.5 | W by 5 | -2.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Kansas St | -3.5 | L by 7 | -10.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Kansas St | -8.0 | W by 19 | +11.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Baylor | -2.0 | W by 14 | +12.0 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Houston | +5.5 | W by 28 | +33.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | S Dakota St | -16.0 | W by 17 | +1.0 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Wash State | -6.5 | W by 11 | +4.5 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | Illinois | -1.5 | L by 3 | -4.5 |
UCF Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Florida Intl | -10.0 | W by 23 | +13.0 |
| 11/10 | Away | Miami | +9.5 | L by 16 | -6.5 |
| 11/16 | Home | CS Fullerton | -9.5 | W by 28 | +18.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | S Dakota St | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Charlotte | -5.0 | W by 3 | -2.0 |
| 11/26 | Home | Stetson | -12.5 | L by 3 | -15.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Lipscomb | -10.5 | W by 15 | +4.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Jacksonville | -14.5 | W by 42 | +27.5 |
| 12/10 | Home | Mississippi | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Maine | -14.0 | W by 23 | +9.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Florida A&M | -24.5 | W by 13 | -11.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Beth-Cook | -23.0 | W by 44 | +21.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Kansas St | +5.0 | L by 25 | -20.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Kansas | +7.0 | W by 5 | +12.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | BYU | +5.5 | L by 5 | +0.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Texas | +8.5 | W by 6 | +14.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Houston | +17.5 | L by 15 | +2.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | W Virginia | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Cincinnati | +7.5 | L by 11 | -3.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Baylor | +3.5 | L by 8 | -4.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Oklahoma | +1.5 | W by 11 | +12.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Texas Tech | +7.5 | L by 7 | +0.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | BYU | +12.5 | L by 2 | +10.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Cincinnati | -1.0 | L by 2 | -3.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | W Virginia | -2.5 | L by 10 | -12.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Texas Tech | -2.0 | W by 14 | +12.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Oklahoma St | +2.0 | W by 6 | +8.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | Iowa St | +3.5 | L by 8 | -4.5 |
| 03/06 | Home | Houston | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | TX Christian | +8.0 | W by 2 | +10.0 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | Oklahoma St | -4.0 | W by 15 | +11.0 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | BYU | +6.0 | L by 14 | -8.0 |
| 03/19 | Home | S Florida | -5.5 | L by 6 | -11.5 |
| ISU -3.5 | Open | -3.5 | High | -4.0 |
| Last | -4.0 | Low | -2.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2500 games where the closing line favored the away team by 2.5 to 4.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Iowa State won the game 1486 times (59.4%).
- The team like Central Florida won the game 1014 times (40.6%).
- The team like Central Florida did better against the spread, going 1262-1191-47 (51.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.9 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3996 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Iowa State did better against the spread, going 1965-1957-74 (50.1% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.5 | -3.5 | -- |
| Open | -3.5 | -3.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 03/02 03:59 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 03:44 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 02:53 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 01:08 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 11:56 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 10:56 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 08:08 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 02:59 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 10:32 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 08:38 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 03/01 08:05 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 07:20 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
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