NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAKE DUKE
Points 73.1 75.4
Total Points   148.5
Points From 2-Pointers 40.8 37.6
Points From 3-Pointers 19.0 23.5
Points From Free Throws 13.3 14.3
Shooting WAKE DUKE
Field Goals Made 26.8 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 56.1 57.8
Field Goal % 47.7% 46.2%
2 Pointers Made 20.4 18.8
2 Pointers Attempted 37.4 36.6
2 Point Shooting % 54.6% 51.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 18.7 21.2
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 37.0%
Free Throws Made 13.3 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 16.7 19.9
Free Throw % 79.2% 71.6%
Ball Control WAKE DUKE
Rebounds 31.6 33.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 24.1
Rebounds - Offensive 6.9 9.2
Turnovers 9.8 8.9
Blocked Shots 4.9 3.4
Steals 4.6 5.8
Fouls 13.6 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Wake Forest

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAKE DUKE
Total Possessions 68.8
Effective Scoring Chances 65.9 69.1
% of Possessions with WAKE DUKE
2 Point Attempt 48.5% 45.7%
3 Point Attempt 24.2% 26.5%
Player Fouled 22.6% 19.7%
Turnover 14.3% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAKE DUKE
Shot Blocked 6.1% 8.8%
Offensive Rebound 22.3% 27.1%