NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JAC GASO
Points 73.7 76.5
Total Points   150.2
Points From 2-Pointers 34.5 33.5
Points From 3-Pointers 18.6 27.8
Points From Free Throws 20.6 15.1
Shooting JAC GASO
Field Goals Made 23.4 26.0
Field Goals Attempted 55.3 55.3
Field Goal % 42.4% 47.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.3 16.8
2 Pointers Attempted 36.9 30.7
2 Point Shooting % 46.7% 54.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 9.3
3 Pointers Attempted 18.4 24.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.7% 37.8%
Free Throws Made 20.6 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 29.5 21.2
Free Throw % 69.8% 71.5%
Ball Control JAC GASO
Rebounds 37.8 31.7
Rebounds - Defensive 23.5 22.5
Rebounds - Offensive 14.4 9.2
Turnovers 11.9 12.1
Blocked Shots 2.9 4.2
Steals 7.1 6.4
Fouls 16.6 18.3

Playing Style Advantage: Jacksonville

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JAC GASO
Total Possessions 71.4
Effective Scoring Chances 73.9 68.5
% of Possessions with JAC GASO
2 Point Attempt 42.2% 37.5%
3 Point Attempt 21.0% 30.1%
Player Fouled 25.7% 23.3%
Turnover 16.7% 16.9%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 10.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken JAC GASO
Shot Blocked 7.8% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 39.0% 28.1%