NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DREX WVU
Points 72.4 72.8
Total Points   145.2
Points From 2-Pointers 35.9 38.5
Points From 3-Pointers 24.4 20.7
Points From Free Throws 12.2 13.5
Shooting DREX WVU
Field Goals Made 26.1 26.2
Field Goals Attempted 59.9 56.9
Field Goal % 43.5% 45.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.9 19.3
2 Pointers Attempted 36.3 37.5
2 Point Shooting % 49.4% 51.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 23.5 19.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 12.2 13.5
Free Throws Attempted 17.2 19.3
Free Throw % 71.0% 70.4%
Ball Control DREX WVU
Rebounds 36.6 33.4
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 25.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 7.7
Turnovers 9.2 8.5
Blocked Shots 3.7 3.7
Steals 5.0 3.7
Fouls 16.0 13.2

Playing Style Advantage: W Virginia

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DREX WVU
Total Possessions 68.8
Effective Scoring Chances 70.2 68.1
% of Possessions with DREX WVU
2 Point Attempt 44.9% 48.0%
3 Point Attempt 29.1% 24.9%
Player Fouled 19.2% 23.2%
Turnover 13.4% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 5.3% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken DREX WVU
Shot Blocked 6.6% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 29.2% 22.9%