NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JMU GSU
Points 84.1 72.4
Total Points   156.5
Points From 2-Pointers 42.5 38.5
Points From 3-Pointers 23.7 19.3
Points From Free Throws 18.0 14.6
Shooting JMU GSU
Field Goals Made 29.1 25.7
Field Goals Attempted 62.2 60.8
Field Goal % 46.9% 42.2%
2 Pointers Made 21.3 19.3
2 Pointers Attempted 37.7 39.5
2 Point Shooting % 56.3% 48.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 24.5 21.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.2% 30.1%
Free Throws Made 18.0 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 25.7 19.4
Free Throw % 69.7% 75.0%
Ball Control JMU GSU
Rebounds 40.9 34.3
Rebounds - Defensive 28.8 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 12.1 8.8
Turnovers 8.1 10.2
Blocked Shots 3.2 2.8
Steals 6.6 4.2
Fouls 15.0 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Georgia St

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JMU GSU
Total Possessions 73.9
Effective Scoring Chances 77.9 72.5
% of Possessions with JMU GSU
2 Point Attempt 43.3% 47.0%
3 Point Attempt 28.1% 25.4%
Player Fouled 21.9% 20.3%
Turnover 11.0% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken JMU GSU
Shot Blocked 4.6% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 32.2% 23.5%