NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JMU MRSH
Points 80.9 68.5
Total Points   149.5
Points From 2-Pointers 39.5 33.2
Points From 3-Pointers 26.2 21.9
Points From Free Throws 15.2 13.5
Shooting JMU MRSH
Field Goals Made 28.5 23.9
Field Goals Attempted 62.4 60.6
Field Goal % 45.7% 39.4%
2 Pointers Made 19.8 16.6
2 Pointers Attempted 39.7 36.0
2 Point Shooting % 49.8% 46.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.7 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 22.7 24.6
3 Point Shooting % 38.5% 29.6%
Free Throws Made 15.2 13.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 18.8
Free Throw % 69.7% 71.7%
Ball Control JMU MRSH
Rebounds 40.4 36.8
Rebounds - Defensive 29.7 26.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 10.1
Turnovers 10.0 12.0
Blocked Shots 2.1 3.9
Steals 8.2 5.9
Fouls 14.5 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: James Mad

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JMU MRSH
Total Possessions 74.7
Effective Scoring Chances 75.5 72.7
% of Possessions with JMU MRSH
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 42.1%
3 Point Attempt 26.1% 28.7%
Player Fouled 19.9% 19.4%
Turnover 13.3% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 11.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken JMU MRSH
Shot Blocked 6.5% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 28.6% 25.3%