NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FGCU CIN
Points 59.6 77.7
Total Points   137.3
Points From 2-Pointers 30.6 40.8
Points From 3-Pointers 20.4 25.6
Points From Free Throws 8.7 11.3
Shooting FGCU CIN
Field Goals Made 22.1 28.9
Field Goals Attempted 57.1 61.3
Field Goal % 38.7% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made 15.3 20.4
2 Pointers Attempted 37.1 36.9
2 Point Shooting % 41.2% 55.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 20.0 24.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 8.7 11.3
Free Throws Attempted 12.7 16.3
Free Throw % 68.1% 68.9%
Ball Control FGCU CIN
Rebounds 30.4 41.6
Rebounds - Defensive 22.4 28.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 12.7
Turnovers 11.6 9.2
Blocked Shots 2.7 4.2
Steals 5.5 6.3
Fouls 12.4 11.4

Playing Style Advantage: Fla Gulf Cst

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FGCU CIN
Total Possessions 68.3
Effective Scoring Chances 64.7 71.8
% of Possessions with FGCU CIN
2 Point Attempt 47.6% 44.9%
3 Point Attempt 25.7% 29.8%
Player Fouled 16.7% 18.1%
Turnover 17.0% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken FGCU CIN
Shot Blocked 6.9% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 21.6% 36.2%