NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COPP HOW
Points 61.9 75.4
Total Points   137.3
Points From 2-Pointers 31.4 31.4
Points From 3-Pointers 17.1 24.5
Points From Free Throws 13.5 19.4
Shooting COPP HOW
Field Goals Made 21.4 23.9
Field Goals Attempted 54.9 51.2
Field Goal % 39.0% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made 15.7 15.7
2 Pointers Attempted 36.6 30.3
2 Point Shooting % 42.9% 51.9%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 18.3 20.9
3 Point Shooting % 31.2% 39.1%
Free Throws Made 13.5 19.4
Free Throws Attempted 18.5 25.5
Free Throw % 72.6% 76.0%
Ball Control COPP HOW
Rebounds 26.8 40.2
Rebounds - Defensive 18.4 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 12.3
Turnovers 12.5 14.9
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.8
Steals 7.3 6.9
Fouls 16.7 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Coppin St

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COPP HOW
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 66.4 68.0
% of Possessions with COPP HOW
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 36.0%
3 Point Attempt 22.8% 24.9%
Player Fouled 21.1% 23.7%
Turnover 17.7% 21.1%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 10.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken COPP HOW
Shot Blocked 5.6% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 23.0% 40.1%