NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NCCU COPP
Points 72.6 60.2
Total Points   132.8
Points From 2-Pointers 33.8 30.6
Points From 3-Pointers 21.2 16.7
Points From Free Throws 17.6 12.9
Shooting NCCU COPP
Field Goals Made 24.0 20.9
Field Goals Attempted 52.9 55.2
Field Goal % 45.3% 37.8%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 15.3
2 Pointers Attempted 32.7 34.6
2 Point Shooting % 51.7% 44.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 20.2 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 27.1%
Free Throws Made 17.6 12.9
Free Throws Attempted 25.6 17.7
Free Throw % 69.0% 72.6%
Ball Control NCCU COPP
Rebounds 39.0 31.6
Rebounds - Defensive 26.9 21.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.1 10.1
Turnovers 12.2 12.6
Blocked Shots 2.2 2.8
Steals 7.4 5.4
Fouls 14.2 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Coppin St

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NCCU COPP
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 69.3 66.9
% of Possessions with NCCU COPP
2 Point Attempt 39.6% 43.1%
3 Point Attempt 24.4% 25.6%
Player Fouled 23.5% 20.5%
Turnover 17.5% 18.2%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 10.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken NCCU COPP
Shot Blocked 5.1% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 36.0% 27.3%