NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FGCU MINN
Points 65.0 76.2
Total Points   141.2
Points From 2-Pointers 34.8 36.1
Points From 3-Pointers 21.7 27.0
Points From Free Throws 8.6 13.1
Shooting FGCU MINN
Field Goals Made 24.6 27.0
Field Goals Attempted 57.4 55.0
Field Goal % 42.9% 49.2%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 38.3 31.3
2 Point Shooting % 45.4% 57.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 9.0
3 Pointers Attempted 19.0 23.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.9% 38.0%
Free Throws Made 8.6 13.1
Free Throws Attempted 12.6 19.2
Free Throw % 68.1% 67.9%
Ball Control FGCU MINN
Rebounds 31.2 34.9
Rebounds - Defensive 22.7 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 8.7
Turnovers 10.9 9.6
Blocked Shots 3.0 3.5
Steals 6.2 6.3
Fouls 13.8 11.7

Playing Style Advantage: Fla Gulf Cst

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FGCU MINN
Total Possessions 67.5
Effective Scoring Chances 65.1 66.6
% of Possessions with FGCU MINN
2 Point Attempt 49.5% 40.4%
3 Point Attempt 24.6% 30.6%
Player Fouled 17.3% 20.5%
Turnover 16.2% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken FGCU MINN
Shot Blocked 6.5% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 27.7%