NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GASO ECU
Points 72.7 75.4
Total Points   148.2
Points From 2-Pointers 30.2 36.0
Points From 3-Pointers 30.9 19.3
Points From Free Throws 11.6 20.2
Shooting GASO ECU
Field Goals Made 25.4 24.4
Field Goals Attempted 57.3 55.9
Field Goal % 44.3% 43.7%
2 Pointers Made 15.1 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 28.4 36.1
2 Point Shooting % 53.2% 49.8%
3 Pointers Made 10.3 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 28.9 19.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 32.6%
Free Throws Made 11.6 20.2
Free Throws Attempted 16.2 29.4
Free Throw % 71.5% 68.6%
Ball Control GASO ECU
Rebounds 33.7 37.3
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 24.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 12.8
Turnovers 12.7 9.7
Blocked Shots 4.1 3.2
Steals 5.3 7.8
Fouls 17.5 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: E Carolina

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GASO ECU
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 67.7 73.7
% of Possessions with GASO ECU
2 Point Attempt 34.7% 42.5%
3 Point Attempt 35.4% 23.2%
Player Fouled 18.3% 24.9%
Turnover 18.0% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 11.0% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken GASO ECU
Shot Blocked 5.8% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 28.5% 34.9%