NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAS DUQ
Points 64.5 72.9
Total Points   137.4
Points From 2-Pointers 33.2 38.2
Points From 3-Pointers 20.5 20.3
Points From Free Throws 10.8 14.3
Shooting LAS DUQ
Field Goals Made 23.4 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 58.7 57.9
Field Goal % 39.9% 44.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.6 19.1
2 Pointers Attempted 37.0 39.2
2 Point Shooting % 44.8% 48.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 21.7 18.7
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 10.8 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 15.1 19.5
Free Throw % 71.6% 73.4%
Ball Control LAS DUQ
Rebounds 33.3 38.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 28.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 10.4
Turnovers 10.1 9.1
Blocked Shots 3.4 4.9
Steals 5.5 5.6
Fouls 14.8 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: Duquesne

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAS DUQ
Total Possessions 68.4
Effective Scoring Chances 67.3 69.7
% of Possessions with LAS DUQ
2 Point Attempt 46.6% 48.9%
3 Point Attempt 27.3% 23.3%
Player Fouled 19.7% 21.7%
Turnover 14.7% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAS DUQ
Shot Blocked 8.6% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 24.3% 29.9%