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Illinois at Penn St
Wed Feb 21, 2024
6:30pm ET
University Park, PA
Illinois at Penn St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Illinois by 7.5, Total Points: 156.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ILL | adv | PSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-14-3 | 17-14-2 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 13-9-1 | 14-6-2 | |
| Streak | L1 | P1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 3-0-2 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 6-2-2 | |
| Home | 7-9-2 | 9-7-0 | |
| Away | 14-5-1 | 8-7-2 |
Illinois Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | E Illinois | -29.5 | W by 28 | -1.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Oakland | -24.5 | W by 11 | -13.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Marquette | -2.0 | L by 7 | -9.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Valparaiso | -29.5 | W by 23 | -6.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | Southern | -25.0 | W by 28 | +3.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | W Illinois | -27.0 | W by 32 | +5.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Rutgers | +1.5 | W by 18 | +19.5 |
| 12/05 | Neutral | Fla Atlantic | +2.5 | W by 9 | +11.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Tennessee | +7.0 | L by 7 | 0.0 |
| 12/17 | Home | Colgate | -17.0 | W by 17 | 0.0 |
| 12/22 | Neutral | Missouri | -6.5 | W by 24 | +17.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | F Dickinson | -25.5 | W by 33 | +7.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Northwestern | -5.5 | W by 30 | +24.5 |
| 01/05 | Away | Purdue | +10.5 | L by 5 | +5.5 |
| 01/11 | Home | Michigan St | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | Maryland | -9.0 | L by 9 | -18.0 |
| 01/18 | Away | Michigan | -2.5 | W by 15 | +12.5 |
| 01/21 | Home | Rutgers | -11.0 | W by 23 | +12.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Northwestern | -4.0 | L by 5 | -9.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Indiana | -15.0 | W by 8 | -7.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Ohio St | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 02/04 | Home | Nebraska | -10.0 | W by 3 | -7.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Michigan St | +3.5 | L by 8 | -4.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Michigan | -15.5 | W by 29 | +13.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Maryland | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Penn St | -7.5 | L by 1 | -8.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Iowa | -9.5 | W by 10 | +0.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Minnesota | -12.0 | W by 8 | -4.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Wisconsin | +3.0 | W by 8 | +11.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Purdue | -2.5 | L by 6 | -8.5 |
| 03/10 | Away | Iowa | -2.0 | W by 12 | +10.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Ohio St | -5.0 | W by 3 | -2.0 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Nebraska | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 03/17 | Neutral | Wisconsin | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Morehead St | -11.0 | W by 16 | +5.0 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Duquesne | -10.0 | W by 26 | +16.0 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | Iowa St | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
| 03/30 | Neutral | Connecticut | +8.0 | L by 25 | -17.0 |
Penn St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Delaware St | -19.5 | W by 34 | +14.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Lehigh | -17.5 | W by 9 | -8.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | St Fran (PA) | -30.5 | W by 30 | -0.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | Morehead St | -13.0 | W by 23 | +10.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Texas A&M | +8.0 | L by 12 | -4.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Butler | (Pick) | L by 10 | -10.0 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | VCU | -2.5 | L by 12 | -14.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Bucknell | -21.5 | L by 9 | -30.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Maryland | +7.5 | L by 6 | +1.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Ohio St | +5.0 | W by 3 | +8.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | GA Tech | -3.5 | L by 1 | -4.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Le Moyne | -21.5 | W by 17 | -4.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Rider | -13.5 | W by 27 | +13.5 |
| 01/04 | Away | Michigan St | +13.5 | L by 31 | -17.5 |
| 01/07 | Neutral | Michigan | +3.0 | W by 6 | +9.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Northwestern | +1.5 | L by 4 | -2.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Purdue | +18.0 | L by 17 | +1.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Wisconsin | +5.5 | W by 4 | +9.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Ohio St | +9.5 | L by 12 | -2.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Minnesota | -2.5 | L by 9 | -11.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Rutgers | +7.5 | W by 15 | +22.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Indiana | +7.0 | W by 14 | +21.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | Iowa | +1.0 | W by 10 | +11.0 |
| 02/11 | Away | Northwestern | +7.5 | L by 5 | +2.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | Michigan St | +3.0 | L by 8 | -5.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Nebraska | +8.0 | L by 19 | -11.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Illinois | +7.5 | W by 1 | +8.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Indiana | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Iowa | +9.0 | L by 9 | 0.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Minnesota | +7.0 | L by 5 | +2.0 |
| 03/10 | Home | Maryland | +1.5 | W by 16 | +17.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Michigan | -7.0 | W by 9 | +2.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Indiana | +2.0 | L by 2 | 0.0 |
| ILL -7.5 | Open | -8.0 | High | -8.0 |
| Last | -8.0 | Low | -7.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1180 games where the closing line favored the away team by 6.5 to 8.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Illinois won the game 911 times (77.2%).
- The team like Penn St. won the game 269 times (22.8%).
- The team like Illinois did better against the spread, going 620-540-20 (53.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4978 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Illinois did better against the spread, going 2446-2432-100 (50.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.0 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -7.5 | -7.5 | -- |
| Open | -7.0 | -7.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 02/21 06:29 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 06:16 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 03:59 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 01:20 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 12:20 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 11:52 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 11:44 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 11:17 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 09:17 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 12:35 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/20 08:49 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/20 05:43 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 02/20 04:17 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/20 03:25 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
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