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Illinois at Rutgers
Sat Dec 2, 2023
4:00pm ET
Piscataway, NJ
Illinois at Rutgers: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Rutgers by 1.5, Total Points: 138
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ILL | adv | RUTG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-14-3 | 13-19-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 13-9-1 | 8-13-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 7-9-2 | 9-8-0 | |
| Away | 14-5-1 | 4-11-0 |
Illinois Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | E Illinois | -29.5 | W by 28 | -1.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Oakland | -24.5 | W by 11 | -13.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Marquette | -2.0 | L by 7 | -9.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Valparaiso | -29.5 | W by 23 | -6.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | Southern | -25.0 | W by 28 | +3.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | W Illinois | -27.0 | W by 32 | +5.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Rutgers | +1.5 | W by 18 | +19.5 |
| 12/05 | Neutral | Fla Atlantic | +2.5 | W by 9 | +11.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Tennessee | +7.0 | L by 7 | 0.0 |
| 12/17 | Home | Colgate | -17.0 | W by 17 | 0.0 |
| 12/22 | Neutral | Missouri | -6.5 | W by 24 | +17.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | F Dickinson | -25.5 | W by 33 | +7.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Northwestern | -5.5 | W by 30 | +24.5 |
| 01/05 | Away | Purdue | +10.5 | L by 5 | +5.5 |
| 01/11 | Home | Michigan St | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | Maryland | -9.0 | L by 9 | -18.0 |
| 01/18 | Away | Michigan | -2.5 | W by 15 | +12.5 |
| 01/21 | Home | Rutgers | -11.0 | W by 23 | +12.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Northwestern | -4.0 | L by 5 | -9.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Indiana | -15.0 | W by 8 | -7.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Ohio St | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 02/04 | Home | Nebraska | -10.0 | W by 3 | -7.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Michigan St | +3.5 | L by 8 | -4.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Michigan | -15.5 | W by 29 | +13.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Maryland | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Penn St | -7.5 | L by 1 | -8.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Iowa | -9.5 | W by 10 | +0.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Minnesota | -12.0 | W by 8 | -4.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Wisconsin | +3.0 | W by 8 | +11.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Purdue | -2.5 | L by 6 | -8.5 |
| 03/10 | Away | Iowa | -2.0 | W by 12 | +10.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Ohio St | -5.0 | W by 3 | -2.0 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Nebraska | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 03/17 | Neutral | Wisconsin | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Morehead St | -11.0 | W by 16 | +5.0 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Duquesne | -10.0 | W by 26 | +16.0 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | Iowa St | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
| 03/30 | Neutral | Connecticut | +8.0 | L by 25 | -17.0 |
Rutgers Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Neutral | Princeton | -5.5 | L by 7 | -12.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Boston U | -22.0 | W by 24 | +2.0 |
| 11/12 | Home | Bryant | -14.5 | W by 9 | -5.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | Georgetown | -10.0 | W by 11 | +1.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Howard | -15.5 | W by 22 | +6.5 |
| 11/27 | Home | St Peters | -16.0 | W by 31 | +15.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Illinois | -1.5 | L by 18 | -19.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Wake Forest | +3.5 | L by 19 | -15.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Seton Hall | +3.5 | W by 7 | +10.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | LIU | -27.5 | W by 22 | -5.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Miss State | +3.0 | L by 10 | -7.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Stonehill | -25.5 | W by 1 | -24.5 |
| 01/03 | Away | Ohio St | +7.5 | L by 4 | +3.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Iowa | +6.0 | L by 9 | -3.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | Indiana | -4.0 | W by 9 | +5.0 |
| 01/14 | Away | Michigan St | +10.5 | L by 18 | -7.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Nebraska | -3.0 | W by 5 | +2.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | Illinois | +11.0 | L by 23 | -12.0 |
| 01/28 | Home | Purdue | +10.0 | L by 8 | +2.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Penn St | -7.5 | L by 15 | -22.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Michigan | +4.5 | W by 10 | +14.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Maryland | +7.5 | W by 3 | +10.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Wisconsin | +3.5 | W by 22 | +25.5 |
| 02/15 | Home | Northwestern | -4.0 | W by 3 | -1.0 |
| 02/18 | Away | Minnesota | +5.5 | L by 11 | -5.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | Purdue | +14.5 | L by 28 | -13.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Maryland | -2.0 | L by 17 | -19.0 |
| 02/29 | Home | Michigan | -8.0 | W by 30 | +22.0 |
| 03/03 | Away | Nebraska | +9.0 | L by 11 | -2.0 |
| 03/07 | Away | Wisconsin | +10.0 | L by 12 | -2.0 |
| 03/10 | Home | Ohio St | +1.5 | L by 22 | -20.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Maryland | +4.5 | L by 14 | -9.5 |
| RUTG -1.5 | Open | -1.5 | High | -1.5 |
| Last | -- | Low | -1.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2635 games where the closing line favored the home team by 0.5 to 2.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Rutgers won the game 1469 times (55.7%).
- The team like Illinois won the game 1166 times (44.3%).
- The team like Rutgers did better against the spread, going 1328-1264-43 (51.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1900 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Rutgers did better against the spread, going 955-908-37 (51.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| Open | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/02 11:35 AM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 12/01 08:32 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
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