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Illinois at Tennessee
Sat Dec 9, 2023
12:00pm ET
Knoxville, TN
Illinois at Tennessee: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Tennessee by 7, Total Points: 145
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ILL | adv | TENN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-14-3 | 18-17-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 13-9-1 | 11-8-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 7-9-2 | 10-5-1 | |
| Away | 14-5-1 | 8-12-0 |
Illinois Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | E Illinois | -29.5 | W by 28 | -1.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Oakland | -24.5 | W by 11 | -13.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Marquette | -2.0 | L by 7 | -9.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Valparaiso | -29.5 | W by 23 | -6.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | Southern | -25.0 | W by 28 | +3.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | W Illinois | -27.0 | W by 32 | +5.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Rutgers | +1.5 | W by 18 | +19.5 |
| 12/05 | Neutral | Fla Atlantic | +2.5 | W by 9 | +11.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Tennessee | +7.0 | L by 7 | 0.0 |
| 12/17 | Home | Colgate | -17.0 | W by 17 | 0.0 |
| 12/22 | Neutral | Missouri | -6.5 | W by 24 | +17.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | F Dickinson | -25.5 | W by 33 | +7.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Northwestern | -5.5 | W by 30 | +24.5 |
| 01/05 | Away | Purdue | +10.5 | L by 5 | +5.5 |
| 01/11 | Home | Michigan St | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | Maryland | -9.0 | L by 9 | -18.0 |
| 01/18 | Away | Michigan | -2.5 | W by 15 | +12.5 |
| 01/21 | Home | Rutgers | -11.0 | W by 23 | +12.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Northwestern | -4.0 | L by 5 | -9.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Indiana | -15.0 | W by 8 | -7.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Ohio St | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 02/04 | Home | Nebraska | -10.0 | W by 3 | -7.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Michigan St | +3.5 | L by 8 | -4.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Michigan | -15.5 | W by 29 | +13.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Maryland | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Penn St | -7.5 | L by 1 | -8.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Iowa | -9.5 | W by 10 | +0.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Minnesota | -12.0 | W by 8 | -4.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Wisconsin | +3.0 | W by 8 | +11.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Purdue | -2.5 | L by 6 | -8.5 |
| 03/10 | Away | Iowa | -2.0 | W by 12 | +10.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Ohio St | -5.0 | W by 3 | -2.0 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Nebraska | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 03/17 | Neutral | Wisconsin | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Morehead St | -11.0 | W by 16 | +5.0 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Duquesne | -10.0 | W by 26 | +16.0 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | Iowa St | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
| 03/30 | Neutral | Connecticut | +8.0 | L by 25 | -17.0 |
Tennessee Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | TN Tech | -32.5 | W by 38 | +5.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | Wisconsin | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Wofford | -31.5 | W by 21 | -10.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Syracuse | -12.5 | W by 17 | +4.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Purdue | +3.5 | L by 4 | -0.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Kansas | +1.5 | L by 9 | -7.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | N Carolina | +2.5 | L by 8 | -5.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Geo Mason | -15.5 | W by 21 | +5.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Illinois | -7.0 | W by 7 | 0.0 |
| 12/12 | Home | GA Southern | -34.0 | W by 18 | -16.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | NC State | -9.5 | W by 9 | -0.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Tarleton St | -22.5 | W by 19 | -3.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Norfolk St | -24.0 | W by 37 | +13.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Mississippi | -12.0 | W by 26 | +14.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Miss State | -2.0 | L by 5 | -7.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Georgia | -7.5 | W by 6 | -1.5 |
| 01/16 | Home | Florida | -10.0 | W by 19 | +9.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Alabama | -5.5 | W by 20 | +14.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Vanderbilt | -13.5 | W by 13 | -0.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | S Carolina | -14.0 | L by 4 | -18.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Kentucky | +1.5 | W by 11 | +12.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | LSU | -14.0 | W by 20 | +6.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Texas A&M | -2.0 | L by 16 | -18.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Arkansas | -8.5 | W by 29 | +20.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Vanderbilt | -20.0 | W by 35 | +15.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | Missouri | -12.0 | W by 5 | -7.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Texas A&M | -11.0 | W by 35 | +24.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Auburn | -6.5 | W by 8 | +1.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Alabama | +4.5 | W by 7 | +11.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | S Carolina | -5.5 | W by 7 | +1.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Kentucky | -8.5 | L by 4 | -12.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Miss State | -9.5 | L by 17 | -26.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | St Peters | -22.0 | W by 34 | +12.0 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Texas | -6.5 | W by 4 | -2.5 |
| 03/29 | Neutral | Creighton | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 03/31 | Neutral | Purdue | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| TENN -7.0 | Open | -6.0 | High | -7.0 |
| Last | -6.5 | Low | -6.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3116 games where the closing line favored the home team by 6 to 8 points. In these games:
- The team like Tennessee won the game 2330 times (74.8%).
- The team like Illinois won the game 786 times (25.2%).
- The team like Tennessee did better against the spread, going 1531-1514-71 (50.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3118 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Illinois did better against the spread, going 1546-1514-58 (50.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -7.0 | -6.5 | -- |
| Open | -6.5 | -6.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/09 12:02 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 11:59 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 11:05 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 10:58 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 10:37 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 12/09 10:32 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 09:50 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 09:20 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 08:37 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 12/09 08:35 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 08:10 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 07:47 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 12/09 07:44 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 07:01 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 06:04 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 04:29 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 02:52 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 02:08 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 10:46 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 09:20 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 08:26 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 06:56 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 05:47 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 12/08 05:44 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
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