NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ILL TENN
Points 74.3 78.4
Total Points   152.7
Points From 2-Pointers 31.1 41.9
Points From 3-Pointers 24.2 22.2
Points From Free Throws 19.0 14.2
Shooting ILL TENN
Field Goals Made 23.6 28.4
Field Goals Attempted 59.6 65.5
Field Goal % 39.6% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made 15.5 21.0
2 Pointers Attempted 34.5 44.6
2 Point Shooting % 45.1% 47.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 25.1 20.9
3 Point Shooting % 32.2% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 19.0 14.2
Free Throws Attempted 25.8 18.8
Free Throw % 73.8% 75.4%
Ball Control ILL TENN
Rebounds 40.5 38.6
Rebounds - Defensive 28.3 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 12.3 11.4
Turnovers 9.7 6.9
Blocked Shots 2.1 4.2
Steals 3.8 5.8
Fouls 13.9 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Illinois

Expected Effect: +1.0 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ILL TENN
Total Possessions 72.5
Effective Scoring Chances 75.1 77.0
% of Possessions with ILL TENN
2 Point Attempt 39.9% 52.6%
3 Point Attempt 29.0% 24.7%
Player Fouled 22.9% 19.2%
Turnover 13.3% 9.5%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 5.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken ILL TENN
Shot Blocked 6.4% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 31.1% 28.7%