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Notre Dame at Louisville
Wed Feb 21, 2024
7:00pm ET
Louisville, KY
Notre Dame at Louisville: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Louisville by 3, Total Points: 136.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ND | adv | LOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 18-15-0 | 13-18-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 14-8-0 | 9-11-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 8-9-0 | 5-12-1 | |
| Away | 10-6-0 | 8-6-0 |
Notre Dame Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Niagara | -10.0 | W by 7 | -3.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | W Carolina | -4.0 | L by 10 | -14.0 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | Auburn | +14.5 | L by 24 | -9.5 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | Oklahoma St | +7.5 | W by 2 | +9.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Maryland ES | -12.0 | W by 20 | +8.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | S Carolina | +8.0 | L by 12 | -4.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Miami | +14.5 | L by 13 | +1.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | W Michigan | -9.5 | W by 21 | +11.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Marquette | +20.0 | L by 19 | +1.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Georgetown | -4.0 | L by 4 | -8.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Citadel | -8.5 | L by 20 | -28.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Marist | -6.0 | W by 4 | -2.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Virginia | +9.5 | W by 22 | +31.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | NC State | +5.0 | L by 2 | +3.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Duke | +14.5 | L by 8 | +6.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | GA Tech | +6.0 | W by 7 | +13.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Florida St | +1.5 | L by 9 | -7.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | Boston Col | +9.5 | L by 4 | +5.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Miami | +4.5 | L by 12 | -7.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Boston Col | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Virginia | +13.5 | L by 12 | +1.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Pittsburgh | +9.0 | L by 10 | -1.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | Duke | +17.0 | L by 18 | -1.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | VA Tech | +5.5 | W by 8 | +13.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | GA Tech | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Louisville | +3.0 | W by 22 | +25.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Syracuse | +7.0 | L by 3 | +4.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | Wake Forest | +6.5 | W by 5 | +11.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Clemson | +6.0 | W by 7 | +13.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | N Carolina | +16.0 | L by 33 | -17.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | VA Tech | +10.5 | L by 6 | +4.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | GA Tech | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Wake Forest | +9.5 | L by 13 | -3.5 |
Louisville Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Maryland BC | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Chattanooga | -4.0 | L by 10 | -14.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | Coppin St | -17.5 | W by 20 | +2.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Texas | +17.5 | L by 1 | +16.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Indiana | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | N Mex State | -8.5 | W by 6 | -2.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Bellarmine | -5.5 | W by 5 | -0.5 |
| 12/03 | Away | VA Tech | +14.0 | L by 7 | +7.0 |
| 12/09 | Away | DePaul | +2.0 | L by 7 | -5.0 |
| 12/13 | Home | Arkansas St | -3.5 | L by 12 | -15.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | Pepperdine | -1.0 | W by 22 | +21.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Kentucky | +14.0 | L by 19 | -5.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | Virginia | +15.5 | L by 24 | -8.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Pittsburgh | +8.5 | L by 13 | -4.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Miami | +16.5 | W by 9 | +25.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | NC State | +7.5 | L by 6 | +1.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | N Carolina | +21.0 | L by 16 | +5.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Wake Forest | +16.0 | L by 25 | -9.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | Duke | +14.0 | L by 14 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Virginia | +9.0 | L by 17 | -8.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Clemson | +16.0 | L by 6 | +10.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Florida St | +5.5 | W by 9 | +14.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Syracuse | +8.5 | L by 2 | +6.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | GA Tech | -1.0 | W by 12 | +11.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Boston Col | +9.5 | L by 12 | -2.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Pittsburgh | +12.5 | L by 27 | -14.5 |
| 02/21 | Home | Notre Dame | -3.0 | L by 22 | -25.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Duke | +20.5 | L by 25 | -4.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Syracuse | +5.0 | L by 6 | -1.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | VA Tech | +7.5 | L by 16 | -8.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Boston Col | +4.5 | L by 6 | -1.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | NC State | +9.5 | L by 9 | +0.5 |
| LOU -3.0 | Open | -1.0 | High | -3.0 |
| Last | -2.5 | Low | +1.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3892 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2 to 4 points. In these games:
- The team like Louisville won the game 2343 times (60.2%).
- The team like Notre Dame won the game 1549 times (39.8%).
- The team like Louisville did better against the spread, going 1921-1880-91 (50.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1162 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Notre Dame did better against the spread, going 569-567-26 (50.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.5 | -3.5 | -- |
| Open | +1.0 | -1.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 02/21 07:00 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 06:52 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 02/21 06:42 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 02/21 06:25 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 06:17 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 04:08 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 03:17 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 03:08 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 02:26 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 02:05 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 12:44 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 12:36 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 02/21 12:32 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 10:37 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 09:40 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 09:14 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 05:01 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/20 11:08 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 02/20 10:37 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/20 08:31 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/20 07:12 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 02/20 06:59 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/20 03:31 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
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