NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ND SCAR
Points 64.7 69.0
Total Points   133.7
Points From 2-Pointers 33.4 35.8
Points From 3-Pointers 19.7 21.9
Points From Free Throws 11.6 11.3
Shooting ND SCAR
Field Goals Made 23.3 25.2
Field Goals Attempted 55.2 57.8
Field Goal % 42.2% 43.6%
2 Pointers Made 16.7 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 35.7 34.6
2 Point Shooting % 46.9% 51.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 19.6 23.2
3 Point Shooting % 33.6% 31.5%
Free Throws Made 11.6 11.3
Free Throws Attempted 15.7 16.0
Free Throw % 73.7% 70.6%
Ball Control ND SCAR
Rebounds 33.7 35.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 25.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 9.9
Turnovers 9.5 7.8
Blocked Shots 3.0 4.1
Steals 4.5 4.4
Fouls 13.0 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: S Carolina

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ND SCAR
Total Possessions 65.4
Effective Scoring Chances 64.4 67.4
% of Possessions with ND SCAR
2 Point Attempt 47.2% 45.2%
3 Point Attempt 25.9% 30.4%
Player Fouled 20.0% 19.8%
Turnover 14.6% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken ND SCAR
Shot Blocked 7.2% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 25.2% 28.1%