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Notre Dame at N Carolina
Tue Mar 5, 2024
7:00pm ET
Chapel Hill, NC
Notre Dame at N Carolina: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: North Carolina by 16, Total Points: 139
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ND | adv | UNC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 18-15-0 | 21-16-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 14-8-0 | 13-10-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 8-9-0 | 8-7-0 | |
| Away | 10-6-0 | 13-9-0 |
Notre Dame Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Niagara | -10.0 | W by 7 | -3.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | W Carolina | -4.0 | L by 10 | -14.0 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | Auburn | +14.5 | L by 24 | -9.5 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | Oklahoma St | +7.5 | W by 2 | +9.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Maryland ES | -12.0 | W by 20 | +8.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | S Carolina | +8.0 | L by 12 | -4.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Miami | +14.5 | L by 13 | +1.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | W Michigan | -9.5 | W by 21 | +11.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Marquette | +20.0 | L by 19 | +1.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Georgetown | -4.0 | L by 4 | -8.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Citadel | -8.5 | L by 20 | -28.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Marist | -6.0 | W by 4 | -2.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Virginia | +9.5 | W by 22 | +31.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | NC State | +5.0 | L by 2 | +3.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Duke | +14.5 | L by 8 | +6.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | GA Tech | +6.0 | W by 7 | +13.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Florida St | +1.5 | L by 9 | -7.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | Boston Col | +9.5 | L by 4 | +5.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Miami | +4.5 | L by 12 | -7.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Boston Col | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Virginia | +13.5 | L by 12 | +1.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Pittsburgh | +9.0 | L by 10 | -1.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | Duke | +17.0 | L by 18 | -1.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | VA Tech | +5.5 | W by 8 | +13.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | GA Tech | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Louisville | +3.0 | W by 22 | +25.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Syracuse | +7.0 | L by 3 | +4.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | Wake Forest | +6.5 | W by 5 | +11.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Clemson | +6.0 | W by 7 | +13.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | N Carolina | +16.0 | L by 33 | -17.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | VA Tech | +10.5 | L by 6 | +4.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | GA Tech | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Wake Forest | +9.5 | L by 13 | -3.5 |
N Carolina Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Radford | -18.5 | W by 16 | -2.5 |
| 11/12 | Home | Lehigh | -24.0 | W by 22 | -2.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | UC Riverside | -23.5 | W by 25 | +1.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | N Iowa | -11.5 | W by 22 | +10.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Villanova | -2.5 | L by 2 | -4.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Arkansas | -3.5 | W by 15 | +11.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Tennessee | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Florida St | -12.0 | W by 8 | -4.0 |
| 12/05 | Neutral | Connecticut | +5.5 | L by 11 | -5.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Kentucky | -1.0 | L by 4 | -5.0 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Oklahoma | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Charl South | -30.5 | W by 45 | +14.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Pittsburgh | -4.0 | W by 13 | +9.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Clemson | +3.0 | W by 10 | +13.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | NC State | -3.0 | W by 13 | +10.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Syracuse | -12.0 | W by 36 | +24.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Louisville | -21.0 | W by 16 | -5.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Boston Col | -7.5 | W by 10 | +2.5 |
| 01/22 | Home | Wake Forest | -8.0 | W by 21 | +13.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Florida St | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | GA Tech | -8.5 | L by 1 | -9.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Duke | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | Clemson | -6.5 | L by 4 | -10.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Miami | -4.0 | W by 3 | -1.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Syracuse | -8.0 | L by 7 | -15.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | VA Tech | -11.0 | W by 15 | +4.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Virginia | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 02/26 | Home | Miami | -14.0 | W by 4 | -10.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | NC State | -11.0 | W by 9 | -2.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Notre Dame | -16.0 | W by 33 | +17.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Duke | +4.5 | W by 5 | +9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Florida St | -11.0 | W by 25 | +14.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Pittsburgh | -7.5 | W by 7 | -0.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | NC State | -10.0 | L by 8 | -18.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Wagner | -25.5 | W by 28 | +2.5 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Michigan St | -4.0 | W by 16 | +12.0 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | Alabama | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
| UNC -16.0 | Open | -15.5 | High | -16.0 |
| Last | -15.0 | Low | -15.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1127 games where the closing line favored the home team by 15 to 17 points. In these games:
- The team like North Carolina won the game 1044 times (92.6%).
- The team like Notre Dame won the game 83 times (7.4%).
- The team like Notre Dame did better against the spread, going 584-520-23 (52.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 5167 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Notre Dame did better against the spread, going 2541-2523-103 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.0 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -16.5 | -15.5 | -- |
| Open | -15.5 | -15.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 03/05 06:32 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 06:13 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 05:22 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 04:12 PM | -- | -15.5 | -- |
| 03/05 04:02 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 03:59 PM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 02:11 PM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 01:17 PM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 12:44 PM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 12:38 PM | -- | -15.5 | -- |
| 03/05 12:14 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 11:05 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 09:34 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 08:36 AM | -- | -15.5 | -- |
| 03/05 08:25 AM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 06:55 AM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 04:31 AM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 12:20 AM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 03/04 10:05 PM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 03/04 10:02 PM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 06:26 PM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 06:03 PM | -- | -15.5 | -- |
| 03/04 03:35 PM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
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