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Liberty at Middle Tenn
Tue Mar 5, 2024
7:00pm ET
Murfreesboro, TN
Liberty at Middle Tenn: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Liberty by 5, Total Points: 136
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | LIB | adv | MTU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 12-17-0 | 11-20-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-13-0 | 8-10-0 | |
| Streak | L4 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 7-5-0 | 9-6-0 | |
| Away | 5-12-0 | 2-14-0 |
Liberty Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Mid-Atlantic Christian | -- | W by 60 | -- |
| 11/10 | Neutral | Charlotte | -4.5 | W by 12 | +7.5 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | Furman | -2.0 | W by 14 | +12.0 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | Wichita St | -4.0 | W by 17 | +13.0 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Vermont | -5.0 | W by 10 | +5.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Maryland ES | -25.0 | W by 37 | +12.0 |
| 11/30 | Away | Fla Atlantic | +7.5 | L by 25 | -17.5 |
| 12/01 | Neutral | Col Charlestn | -4.5 | L by 9 | -13.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Miss Val St | -30.5 | W by 35 | +4.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Grd Canyon | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | TN State | -15.0 | W by 22 | +7.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | St. Andrews Presbyterian | -- | W by 73 | -- |
| 12/20 | Away | Utah Valley | -3.5 | W by 16 | +12.5 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Alabama | +9.5 | L by 45 | -35.5 |
| 01/01 | Home | Boyce | -- | W by 42 | -- |
| 01/06 | Away | W Kentucky | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | Jksnville St | -11.0 | L by 10 | -21.0 |
| 01/14 | Away | LA Tech | +2.5 | L by 4 | -1.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Florida Intl | -13.5 | W by 9 | -4.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Sam Hous St | -10.0 | W by 16 | +6.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Jksnville St | -5.5 | L by 11 | -16.5 |
| 02/01 | Away | N Mex State | -5.0 | L by 6 | -11.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | TX El Paso | -3.0 | W by 2 | -1.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | Middle Tenn | -11.0 | W by 35 | +24.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | LA Tech | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Sam Hous St | -4.5 | L by 10 | -14.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | Florida Intl | -7.5 | L by 5 | -12.5 |
| 02/29 | Home | N Mex State | -14.5 | W by 25 | +10.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | TX El Paso | -9.0 | L by 16 | -25.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Middle Tenn | -5.0 | L by 8 | -13.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | W Kentucky | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | TX El Paso | -3.5 | L by 9 | -12.5 |
Middle Tenn Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | N Kentucky | -4.5 | W by 17 | +12.5 |
| 11/09 | Home | Ste F Austin | -3.0 | W by 5 | +2.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | W Carolina | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Milligan | -- | W by 26 | -- |
| 11/21 | Home | UAB | -1.0 | L by 1 | -2.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | IL-Chicago | -3.5 | L by 30 | -33.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Ohio | +4.0 | L by 12 | -8.0 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | Kansas City | -5.5 | W by 4 | -1.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Wofford | -8.0 | L by 10 | -18.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Missouri St | +1.0 | W by 4 | +5.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | Belmont | -2.0 | L by 10 | -12.0 |
| 12/19 | Away | St Marys | +15.0 | L by 37 | -22.0 |
| 12/22 | Away | S Utah | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 12/30 | Away | Murray St | +4.5 | L by 21 | -16.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Reinhardt | -- | W by 37 | -- |
| 01/11 | Home | LA Tech | +6.5 | L by 8 | -1.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Sam Hous St | +1.0 | L by 9 | -8.0 |
| 01/18 | Away | TX El Paso | +6.0 | L by 14 | -8.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | N Mex State | +6.0 | L by 11 | -5.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Jksnville St | +1.0 | W by 8 | +9.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Florida Intl | -1.5 | W by 18 | +16.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | W Kentucky | +6.5 | L by 23 | -16.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | Liberty | +11.0 | L by 35 | -24.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Florida Intl | +2.5 | W by 2 | +4.5 |
| 02/15 | Home | N Mex State | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | TX El Paso | -1.5 | W by 6 | +4.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Jksnville St | +6.0 | L by 8 | -2.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | W Kentucky | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Sam Hous St | +8.5 | L by 17 | -8.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Liberty | +5.0 | W by 8 | +13.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | LA Tech | +13.0 | L by 14 | -1.0 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | LA Tech | +9.0 | W by 3 | +12.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | W Kentucky | +6.0 | L by 31 | -25.0 |
| LIB -5.0 | Open | -5.5 | High | -5.5 |
| Last | -5.5 | Low | -5.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1828 games where the closing line favored the away team by 4 to 6 points. In these games:
- The team like Liberty won the game 1201 times (65.7%).
- The team like Middle Tennessee St. won the game 627 times (34.3%).
- The team like Middle Tennessee St. did better against the spread, going 902-876-50 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.6 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 5167 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Liberty did better against the spread, going 2541-2523-103 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.0 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -5.0 | -5.5 | -- |
| Open | -5.5 | -5.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 03/05 05:54 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 05:12 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 01:20 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 12:14 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 11:02 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 09:55 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 09:29 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 08:46 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 08:28 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 03/05 08:07 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 06:26 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 05:45 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 03/04 04:31 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 03:32 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
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