NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LIB MTU
Points 72.3 65.3
Total Points   137.6
Points From 2-Pointers 38.1 34.3
Points From 3-Pointers 24.8 18.6
Points From Free Throws 9.4 12.4
Shooting LIB MTU
Field Goals Made 27.3 23.4
Field Goals Attempted 59.0 54.1
Field Goal % 46.3% 43.2%
2 Pointers Made 19.0 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 36.1 33.7
2 Point Shooting % 52.7% 50.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 22.9 20.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 30.5%
Free Throws Made 9.4 12.4
Free Throws Attempted 14.6 17.4
Free Throw % 64.5% 71.4%
Ball Control LIB MTU
Rebounds 33.0 34.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.7 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 7.7
Turnovers 8.5 11.3
Blocked Shots 2.6 4.0
Steals 4.2 3.9
Fouls 14.6 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: Liberty

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LIB MTU
Total Possessions 68.4
Effective Scoring Chances 67.2 64.8
% of Possessions with LIB MTU
2 Point Attempt 46.7% 43.7%
3 Point Attempt 29.6% 26.3%
Player Fouled 20.0% 21.3%
Turnover 12.5% 16.5%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken LIB MTU
Shot Blocked 7.4% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 21.4% 23.2%