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Dayton at Saint Louis
Tue Mar 5, 2024
9:00pm ET
St. Louis, MO
Dayton at Saint Louis: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Dayton by 9.5, Total Points: 150
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | DAY | adv | SLU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 16-16-1 | 13-19-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-10-0 | 7-13-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 6-9-0 | 5-10-0 | |
| Away | 10-7-1 | 8-9-0 |
Dayton Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | SIU Edward | -17.5 | W by 16 | -1.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | Northwestern | +5.0 | L by 5 | 0.0 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | LSU | -1.0 | W by 3 | +2.0 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | St Johns | -1.0 | W by 7 | +6.0 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Houston | +12.5 | L by 14 | -1.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Youngs St | -14.5 | W by 8 | -6.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | S Methodist | +1.0 | W by 2 | +3.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Grambling St | -21.5 | W by 30 | +8.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Troy | -13.5 | W by 12 | -1.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Cincinnati | +5.5 | W by 14 | +19.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | Oakland | -12.0 | W by 24 | +12.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Longwood | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | Davidson | -4.5 | W by 13 | +8.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | U Mass | -7.5 | W by 4 | -3.5 |
| 01/12 | Away | Duquesne | +1.0 | W by 10 | +11.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Saint Louis | -13.0 | W by 5 | -8.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Rhode Island | -12.5 | W by 34 | +21.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | La Salle | -8.5 | W by 12 | +3.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Richmond | -3.5 | L by 5 | -8.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | Geo Wshgtn | -12.5 | W by 22 | +9.5 |
| 02/02 | Home | St Bonavent | -7.5 | W by 5 | -2.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | St Josephs | -2.0 | W by 15 | +13.0 |
| 02/09 | Away | VCU | -2.0 | L by 2 | -4.0 |
| 02/13 | Home | Duquesne | -8.0 | W by 16 | +8.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | Fordham | -13.0 | W by 8 | -5.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Geo Mason | -3.5 | L by 4 | -7.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Davidson | -10.5 | W by 14 | +3.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Loyola-Chi | -1.0 | L by 5 | -6.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Saint Louis | -9.5 | W by 17 | +7.5 |
| 03/08 | Home | VCU | -8.0 | W by 5 | -3.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Duquesne | -7.0 | L by 8 | -15.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Nevada | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Arizona | +8.5 | L by 10 | -1.5 |
Saint Louis Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | S Indiana | -15.5 | W by 12 | -3.5 |
| 11/08 | Home | Lincoln (MO) | -- | W by 36 | -- |
| 11/11 | Home | Illinois St | -8.5 | W by 9 | +0.5 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | Wyoming | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | Vermont | +4.5 | L by 10 | -5.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Wichita St | +4.0 | L by 19 | -15.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Dartmouth | -12.0 | W by 1 | -11.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Utah St | +6.5 | L by 5 | +1.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | S Illinois | +6.0 | L by 39 | -33.0 |
| 12/06 | Away | Drake | +15.5 | L by 6 | +9.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Hofstra | +4.5 | W by 3 | +7.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | LA Tech | +3.5 | W by 1 | +4.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | NC State | +11.5 | L by 12 | -0.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Loyola-Chi | -2.0 | L by 7 | -9.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Geo Mason | +9.5 | L by 12 | -2.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | St Josephs | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | Dayton | +13.0 | L by 5 | +8.0 |
| 01/19 | Away | VCU | +8.5 | L by 24 | -15.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Davidson | -2.0 | L by 23 | -25.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | U Mass | +4.5 | L by 11 | -6.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | Loyola-Chi | +9.5 | L by 15 | -5.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Fordham | -1.0 | L by 2 | -3.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | La Salle | +4.0 | W by 18 | +22.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | St Josephs | +10.0 | L by 1 | +9.0 |
| 02/16 | Home | VCU | +5.0 | L by 10 | -5.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | Duquesne | +9.0 | L by 15 | -6.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Geo Wshgtn | -5.5 | W by 5 | -0.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Richmond | +5.5 | L by 16 | -10.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Rhode Island | +2.5 | W by 3 | +5.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Dayton | +9.5 | L by 17 | -7.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | St Bonavent | +11.0 | W by 8 | +19.0 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | Rhode Island | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Duquesne | +8.0 | L by 10 | -2.0 |
| DAY -9.5 | Open | -10.5 | High | -10.5 |
| Last | -9.0 | Low | -8.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 721 games where the closing line favored the away team by 8.5 to 10.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Dayton won the game 579 times (80.3%).
- The team like Saint Louis won the game 142 times (19.7%).
- The team like Saint Louis did better against the spread, going 362-353-6 (50.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3536 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Dayton did better against the spread, going 1737-1734-65 (50.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -9.5 | -9.5 | -- |
| Open | -10.5 | -10.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 03/05 08:56 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 08:12 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 06:25 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 06:17 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 02:53 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 12:41 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 12:40 PM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 03/05 10:29 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 10:22 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 03/04 10:17 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 07:40 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 03/04 05:23 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 03:38 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
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