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Dayton at Geo Mason
Wed Feb 21, 2024
7:00pm ET
Fairfax, VA
Dayton at Geo Mason: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Dayton by 3.5, Total Points: 133.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | DAY | adv | GMU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 16-16-1 | 17-13-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-10-0 | 10-9-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 6-9-0 | 9-6-1 | |
| Away | 10-7-1 | 8-7-0 |
Dayton Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | SIU Edward | -17.5 | W by 16 | -1.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | Northwestern | +5.0 | L by 5 | 0.0 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | LSU | -1.0 | W by 3 | +2.0 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | St Johns | -1.0 | W by 7 | +6.0 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Houston | +12.5 | L by 14 | -1.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Youngs St | -14.5 | W by 8 | -6.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | S Methodist | +1.0 | W by 2 | +3.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Grambling St | -21.5 | W by 30 | +8.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Troy | -13.5 | W by 12 | -1.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Cincinnati | +5.5 | W by 14 | +19.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | Oakland | -12.0 | W by 24 | +12.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Longwood | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | Davidson | -4.5 | W by 13 | +8.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | U Mass | -7.5 | W by 4 | -3.5 |
| 01/12 | Away | Duquesne | +1.0 | W by 10 | +11.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Saint Louis | -13.0 | W by 5 | -8.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Rhode Island | -12.5 | W by 34 | +21.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | La Salle | -8.5 | W by 12 | +3.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Richmond | -3.5 | L by 5 | -8.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | Geo Wshgtn | -12.5 | W by 22 | +9.5 |
| 02/02 | Home | St Bonavent | -7.5 | W by 5 | -2.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | St Josephs | -2.0 | W by 15 | +13.0 |
| 02/09 | Away | VCU | -2.0 | L by 2 | -4.0 |
| 02/13 | Home | Duquesne | -8.0 | W by 16 | +8.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | Fordham | -13.0 | W by 8 | -5.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Geo Mason | -3.5 | L by 4 | -7.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Davidson | -10.5 | W by 14 | +3.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Loyola-Chi | -1.0 | L by 5 | -6.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Saint Louis | -9.5 | W by 17 | +7.5 |
| 03/08 | Home | VCU | -8.0 | W by 5 | -3.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Duquesne | -7.0 | L by 8 | -15.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Nevada | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Arizona | +8.5 | L by 10 | -1.5 |
Geo Mason Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Monmouth | -11.0 | W by 11 | 0.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Austin Peay | -6.5 | W by 22 | +15.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | Cornell | -2.0 | W by 7 | +5.0 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Charlotte | -2.5 | L by 5 | -7.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | S Dakota St | -1.0 | W by 2 | +1.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | E Carolina | -5.0 | W by 22 | +17.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | NJIT | -21.0 | W by 18 | -3.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Toledo | +4.5 | W by 9 | +13.5 |
| 12/05 | Away | Tennessee | +15.5 | L by 21 | -5.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Loyola-MD | -14.0 | W by 8 | -6.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Bridgewater (VA) | -- | W by 24 | -- |
| 12/22 | Away | Tulane | +4.0 | W by 3 | +7.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | NC A&T | -20.5 | W by 25 | +4.5 |
| 01/03 | Away | La Salle | -3.5 | W by 15 | +11.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Saint Louis | -9.5 | W by 12 | +2.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | VCU | -4.0 | L by 4 | -8.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Richmond | +2.5 | L by 7 | -4.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | Geo Wshgtn | -2.0 | L by 13 | -15.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | St Bonavent | -2.5 | W by 9 | +6.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Rhode Island | -10.0 | W by 8 | -2.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | St Josephs | +4.5 | L by 2 | +2.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | U Mass | +4.5 | L by 1 | +3.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Loyola-Chi | -4.0 | L by 6 | -10.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Davidson | +1.0 | W by 2 | +3.0 |
| 02/13 | Home | Geo Wshgtn | -9.5 | W by 23 | +13.5 |
| 02/21 | Home | Dayton | +3.5 | W by 4 | +7.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Loyola-Chi | +5.5 | L by 21 | -15.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Fordham | -2.0 | L by 1 | -3.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | Duquesne | -2.5 | L by 8 | -10.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Rhode Island | -3.5 | W by 18 | +14.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Richmond | -2.0 | W by 18 | +16.0 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | St Josephs | -1.0 | L by 7 | -8.0 |
| DAY -3.5 | Open | -2.0 | High | -3.5 |
| Last | -3.0 | Low | -2.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2439 games where the closing line favored the away team by 2.5 to 4.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Dayton won the game 1451 times (59.5%).
- The team like George Mason won the game 988 times (40.5%).
- The team like George Mason did better against the spread, going 1229-1163-47 (51.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.9 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2029 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Dayton did better against the spread, going 1013-978-38 (50.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.5 | -3.5 | -- |
| Open | -2.0 | -2.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 02/21 06:35 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 03:01 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 02:46 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 02:05 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 01:22 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 02/21 01:20 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 12:52 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 12:38 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 02/21 12:31 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 02/21 12:20 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 11:54 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 02/21 11:52 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 11:10 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 09:19 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/20 11:38 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 02/20 11:10 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/20 11:07 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/20 06:18 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 02/20 03:28 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
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