NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PROV MARQ
Points 67.2 73.0
Total Points   140.2
Points From 2-Pointers 27.4 38.0
Points From 3-Pointers 27.8 24.4
Points From Free Throws 12.0 10.7
Shooting PROV MARQ
Field Goals Made 23.0 27.1
Field Goals Attempted 56.4 60.6
Field Goal % 40.7% 44.7%
2 Pointers Made 13.7 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 27.3 38.4
2 Point Shooting % 50.1% 49.4%
3 Pointers Made 9.3 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 29.1 22.2
3 Point Shooting % 31.9% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 12.0 10.7
Free Throws Attempted 16.1 15.6
Free Throw % 74.5% 68.8%
Ball Control PROV MARQ
Rebounds 37.3 34.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.7 25.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 8.3
Turnovers 13.6 9.3
Blocked Shots 3.4 3.2
Steals 5.3 8.1
Fouls 13.3 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: Marquette

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PROV MARQ
Total Possessions 70.8
Effective Scoring Chances 66.8 69.8
% of Possessions with PROV MARQ
2 Point Attempt 33.4% 47.8%
3 Point Attempt 35.6% 27.6%
Player Fouled 19.4% 18.7%
Turnover 19.2% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 11.5% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken PROV MARQ
Shot Blocked 5.4% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 27.1% 23.0%