NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MARQ CREI
Points 74.8 76.6
Total Points   151.4
Points From 2-Pointers 46.7 30.8
Points From 3-Pointers 21.5 35.2
Points From Free Throws 6.5 10.6
Shooting MARQ CREI
Field Goals Made 30.5 27.1
Field Goals Attempted 68.0 59.5
Field Goal % 44.9% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 23.4 15.4
2 Pointers Attempted 47.7 27.4
2 Point Shooting % 48.9% 56.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 11.7
3 Pointers Attempted 20.3 32.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 6.5 10.6
Free Throws Attempted 9.5 13.2
Free Throw % 68.8% 80.8%
Ball Control MARQ CREI
Rebounds 33.3 38.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 30.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 8.4
Turnovers 6.2 11.9
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.1
Steals 7.0 3.2
Fouls 12.1 9.5

Playing Style Advantage: Marquette

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MARQ CREI
Total Possessions 71.2
Effective Scoring Chances 73.2 67.7
% of Possessions with MARQ CREI
2 Point Attempt 59.1% 33.9%
3 Point Attempt 25.1% 39.7%
Player Fouled 13.3% 17.0%
Turnover 8.7% 16.7%
Opponent Steal 4.5% 9.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken MARQ CREI
Shot Blocked 5.2% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 21.3% 25.1%