NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TNTC ETSU
Points 62.4 73.7
Total Points   136.1
Points From 2-Pointers 33.2 36.8
Points From 3-Pointers 17.0 25.4
Points From Free Throws 12.2 11.4
Shooting TNTC ETSU
Field Goals Made 22.2 26.9
Field Goals Attempted 52.9 61.1
Field Goal % 42.1% 44.0%
2 Pointers Made 16.6 18.4
2 Pointers Attempted 35.1 35.6
2 Point Shooting % 47.2% 51.7%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 17.8 25.5
3 Point Shooting % 31.9% 33.2%
Free Throws Made 12.2 11.4
Free Throws Attempted 17.6 17.3
Free Throw % 69.5% 66.1%
Ball Control TNTC ETSU
Rebounds 30.2 40.5
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 5.7 13.1
Turnovers 12.4 9.8
Blocked Shots 2.3 5.6
Steals 4.7 7.4
Fouls 12.4 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: E Tenn St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TNTC ETSU
Total Possessions 69.2
Effective Scoring Chances 62.5 72.5
% of Possessions with TNTC ETSU
2 Point Attempt 45.5% 42.8%
3 Point Attempt 23.0% 30.7%
Player Fouled 22.2% 17.9%
Turnover 17.9% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 10.7% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken TNTC ETSU
Shot Blocked 9.2% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 17.3% 34.9%