NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TNTC UALR
Points 63.7 77.9
Total Points   141.6
Points From 2-Pointers 31.7 47.0
Points From 3-Pointers 20.5 20.5
Points From Free Throws 11.5 10.5
Shooting TNTC UALR
Field Goals Made 22.7 30.3
Field Goals Attempted 55.4 60.1
Field Goal % 40.9% 50.4%
2 Pointers Made 15.9 23.5
2 Pointers Attempted 34.9 41.2
2 Point Shooting % 45.4% 57.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 20.5 18.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.3% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 11.5 10.5
Free Throws Attempted 16.5 14.3
Free Throw % 69.5% 73.1%
Ball Control TNTC UALR
Rebounds 28.6 38.4
Rebounds - Defensive 22.5 28.9
Rebounds - Offensive 6.2 9.5
Turnovers 11.7 10.4
Blocked Shots 2.0 4.9
Steals 4.4 5.8
Fouls 12.3 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: AR Lit Rock

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TNTC UALR
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 64.7 69.3
% of Possessions with TNTC UALR
2 Point Attempt 44.6% 51.2%
3 Point Attempt 26.2% 23.5%
Player Fouled 19.8% 17.5%
Turnover 16.7% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken TNTC UALR
Shot Blocked 8.2% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 17.6% 29.7%