NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ARPB GONZ
Points 65.8 102.0
Total Points   167.8
Points From 2-Pointers 24.5 62.4
Points From 3-Pointers 28.9 24.0
Points From Free Throws 12.3 15.6
Shooting ARPB GONZ
Field Goals Made 21.9 39.2
Field Goals Attempted 59.6 64.7
Field Goal % 36.8% 60.6%
2 Pointers Made 12.3 31.2
2 Pointers Attempted 32.0 42.3
2 Point Shooting % 38.3% 73.7%
3 Pointers Made 9.6 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 27.5 22.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 12.3 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 16.4 21.2
Free Throw % 75.0% 73.6%
Ball Control ARPB GONZ
Rebounds 23.3 45.1
Rebounds - Defensive 16.9 33.0
Rebounds - Offensive 6.4 12.1
Turnovers 10.8 7.0
Blocked Shots 0.9 4.6
Steals 3.4 6.3
Fouls 15.1 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Ark Pine Bl

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ARPB GONZ
Total Possessions 73.1
Effective Scoring Chances 68.7 78.2
% of Possessions with ARPB GONZ
2 Point Attempt 39.4% 49.5%
3 Point Attempt 33.9% 26.2%
Player Fouled 19.4% 20.7%
Turnover 14.8% 9.6%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 4.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken ARPB GONZ
Shot Blocked 7.1% 1.5%
Offensive Rebound 16.3% 41.8%