NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ALBY BRY
Points 76.4 85.0
Total Points   161.4
Points From 2-Pointers 36.9 51.6
Points From 3-Pointers 24.1 17.3
Points From Free Throws 15.5 16.1
Shooting ALBY BRY
Field Goals Made 26.5 31.6
Field Goals Attempted 69.2 61.6
Field Goal % 38.2% 51.2%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 25.8
2 Pointers Attempted 43.9 42.1
2 Point Shooting % 42.0% 61.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 25.3 19.5
3 Point Shooting % 31.7% 29.6%
Free Throws Made 15.5 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 20.9 23.8
Free Throw % 73.9% 67.6%
Ball Control ALBY BRY
Rebounds 40.0 39.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.9 31.9
Rebounds - Offensive 13.0 7.6
Turnovers 12.0 11.9
Blocked Shots 2.9 7.0
Steals 8.0 6.5
Fouls 18.0 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: Bryant

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALBY BRY
Total Possessions 80.2
Effective Scoring Chances 81.2 76.0
% of Possessions with ALBY BRY
2 Point Attempt 45.8% 47.4%
3 Point Attempt 26.3% 21.9%
Player Fouled 17.0% 22.5%
Turnover 14.9% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 10.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALBY BRY
Shot Blocked 11.5% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 29.0% 22.0%