NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TULN USF
Points 74.3 80.9
Total Points   155.2
Points From 2-Pointers 36.0 31.2
Points From 3-Pointers 19.9 32.7
Points From Free Throws 18.4 17.0
Shooting TULN USF
Field Goals Made 24.6 26.5
Field Goals Attempted 55.0 60.6
Field Goal % 44.7% 43.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.0 15.6
2 Pointers Attempted 35.5 32.2
2 Point Shooting % 50.6% 48.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 10.9
3 Pointers Attempted 19.5 28.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 38.4%
Free Throws Made 18.4 17.0
Free Throws Attempted 25.7 23.5
Free Throw % 71.6% 72.6%
Ball Control TULN USF
Rebounds 33.8 38.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.6 28.3
Rebounds - Offensive 6.2 10.1
Turnovers 10.8 9.7
Blocked Shots 3.0 3.8
Steals 5.9 6.1
Fouls 16.6 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: S Florida

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TULN USF
Total Possessions 74.5
Effective Scoring Chances 69.9 74.9
% of Possessions with TULN USF
2 Point Attempt 43.2% 37.6%
3 Point Attempt 23.7% 33.1%
Player Fouled 23.5% 22.3%
Turnover 14.4% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken TULN USF
Shot Blocked 6.4% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 18.0% 26.8%