NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TULN FAU
Points 76.7 86.2
Total Points   162.9
Points From 2-Pointers 39.7 40.3
Points From 3-Pointers 21.3 28.0
Points From Free Throws 15.7 17.9
Shooting TULN FAU
Field Goals Made 26.9 29.5
Field Goals Attempted 59.6 62.9
Field Goal % 45.2% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 19.8 20.1
2 Pointers Attempted 39.6 36.3
2 Point Shooting % 50.2% 55.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 9.3
3 Pointers Attempted 20.1 26.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 15.7 17.9
Free Throws Attempted 21.9 24.6
Free Throw % 71.6% 72.6%
Ball Control TULN FAU
Rebounds 31.3 42.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 29.7
Rebounds - Offensive 6.3 12.3
Turnovers 10.1 10.1
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.4
Steals 5.8 6.3
Fouls 16.5 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Tulane

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TULN FAU
Total Possessions 76.1
Effective Scoring Chances 72.3 78.3
% of Possessions with TULN FAU
2 Point Attempt 47.2% 40.6%
3 Point Attempt 23.9% 29.8%
Player Fouled 21.5% 21.7%
Turnover 13.3% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken TULN FAU
Shot Blocked 5.5% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 17.5% 33.0%