NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TULN FOR
Points 76.2 76.4
Total Points   152.6
Points From 2-Pointers 35.8 31.1
Points From 3-Pointers 16.2 30.3
Points From Free Throws 24.2 15.0
Shooting TULN FOR
Field Goals Made 23.3 25.7
Field Goals Attempted 50.0 64.9
Field Goal % 46.6% 39.6%
2 Pointers Made 17.9 15.6
2 Pointers Attempted 35.5 34.4
2 Point Shooting % 50.4% 45.3%
3 Pointers Made 5.4 10.1
3 Pointers Attempted 14.5 30.5
3 Point Shooting % 37.2% 33.1%
Free Throws Made 24.2 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 33.8 22.3
Free Throw % 71.6% 67.2%
Ball Control TULN FOR
Rebounds 34.1 41.1
Rebounds - Defensive 29.0 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 5.0 14.2
Turnovers 11.9 10.9
Blocked Shots 3.4 6.1
Steals 6.1 7.1
Fouls 15.5 21.4

Playing Style Advantage: Tulane

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TULN FOR
Total Possessions 75.7
Effective Scoring Chances 68.9 79.0
% of Possessions with TULN FOR
2 Point Attempt 42.7% 37.7%
3 Point Attempt 17.4% 33.4%
Player Fouled 28.3% 20.5%
Turnover 15.7% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken TULN FOR
Shot Blocked 9.5% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 15.8% 32.9%