NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UMES ECU
Points 58.0 73.4
Total Points   131.4
Points From 2-Pointers 29.8 37.6
Points From 3-Pointers 16.5 19.9
Points From Free Throws 11.6 15.9
Shooting UMES ECU
Field Goals Made 20.4 25.4
Field Goals Attempted 54.7 56.2
Field Goal % 37.3% 45.3%
2 Pointers Made 14.9 18.8
2 Pointers Attempted 34.3 34.7
2 Point Shooting % 43.5% 54.2%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 20.4 21.5
3 Point Shooting % 27.0% 30.9%
Free Throws Made 11.6 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 16.2 23.2
Free Throw % 71.8% 68.6%
Ball Control UMES ECU
Rebounds 32.0 39.6
Rebounds - Defensive 22.6 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 12.4
Turnovers 12.8 9.8
Blocked Shots 2.2 3.5
Steals 5.3 7.9
Fouls 15.3 13.2

Playing Style Advantage: E Carolina

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UMES ECU
Total Possessions 68.4
Effective Scoring Chances 65.0 71.0
% of Possessions with UMES ECU
2 Point Attempt 43.3% 42.5%
3 Point Attempt 25.8% 26.3%
Player Fouled 19.4% 22.3%
Turnover 18.6% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 11.6% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken UMES ECU
Shot Blocked 6.2% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 25.6% 35.4%