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VA Tech at Louisville
Tue Mar 5, 2024
7:00pm ET
Louisville, KY
VA Tech at Louisville: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Virginia Tech by 7.5, Total Points: 152.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | VT | adv | LOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 15-19-0 | 13-18-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-13-0 | 9-11-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 11-6-0 | 5-12-1 | |
| Away | 4-13-0 | 8-6-0 |
VA Tech Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Coppin St | -28.0 | W by 45 | +17.0 |
| 11/10 | Neutral | S Carolina | -6.0 | L by 2 | -8.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | Campbell | -21.5 | W by 16 | -5.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | Wofford | -18.0 | W by 22 | +4.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Boise St | -2.0 | W by 7 | +5.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Iowa St | +5.5 | W by 9 | +14.5 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | Fla Atlantic | +2.5 | L by 34 | -31.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | Auburn | +9.0 | L by 17 | -8.0 |
| 12/03 | Home | Louisville | -14.0 | W by 7 | -7.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | Valparaiso | -21.5 | W by 21 | -0.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Vermont | -10.5 | W by 22 | +11.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | American | -17.0 | W by 22 | +5.0 |
| 12/30 | Away | Wake Forest | +4.5 | L by 23 | -18.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Florida St | -1.0 | L by 3 | -4.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Clemson | +2.0 | W by 15 | +17.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Miami | -2.0 | L by 4 | -6.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Virginia | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | NC State | +4.5 | W by 6 | +10.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | Boston Col | -4.5 | W by 5 | +0.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | GA Tech | -9.5 | W by 24 | +14.5 |
| 01/29 | Home | Duke | +3.5 | L by 10 | -6.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Miami | +4.0 | L by 8 | -4.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Notre Dame | -5.5 | L by 8 | -13.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Florida St | -5.5 | W by 8 | +2.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | N Carolina | +11.0 | L by 15 | -4.0 |
| 02/19 | Home | Virginia | -3.5 | W by 34 | +30.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Pittsburgh | +3.0 | L by 15 | -12.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Syracuse | +1.0 | L by 13 | -12.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | Wake Forest | -1.5 | W by 11 | +9.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Louisville | -7.5 | W by 16 | +8.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Notre Dame | -10.5 | W by 6 | -4.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Florida St | -4.5 | L by 10 | -14.5 |
| 03/19 | Home | Richmond | -6.0 | W by 16 | +10.0 |
| 03/23 | Away | Ohio St | +6.0 | L by 8 | -2.0 |
Louisville Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Maryland BC | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Chattanooga | -4.0 | L by 10 | -14.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | Coppin St | -17.5 | W by 20 | +2.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Texas | +17.5 | L by 1 | +16.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Indiana | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | N Mex State | -8.5 | W by 6 | -2.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Bellarmine | -5.5 | W by 5 | -0.5 |
| 12/03 | Away | VA Tech | +14.0 | L by 7 | +7.0 |
| 12/09 | Away | DePaul | +2.0 | L by 7 | -5.0 |
| 12/13 | Home | Arkansas St | -3.5 | L by 12 | -15.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | Pepperdine | -1.0 | W by 22 | +21.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Kentucky | +14.0 | L by 19 | -5.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | Virginia | +15.5 | L by 24 | -8.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Pittsburgh | +8.5 | L by 13 | -4.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Miami | +16.5 | W by 9 | +25.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | NC State | +7.5 | L by 6 | +1.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | N Carolina | +21.0 | L by 16 | +5.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Wake Forest | +16.0 | L by 25 | -9.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | Duke | +14.0 | L by 14 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Virginia | +9.0 | L by 17 | -8.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Clemson | +16.0 | L by 6 | +10.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Florida St | +5.5 | W by 9 | +14.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Syracuse | +8.5 | L by 2 | +6.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | GA Tech | -1.0 | W by 12 | +11.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Boston Col | +9.5 | L by 12 | -2.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Pittsburgh | +12.5 | L by 27 | -14.5 |
| 02/21 | Home | Notre Dame | -3.0 | L by 22 | -25.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Duke | +20.5 | L by 25 | -4.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Syracuse | +5.0 | L by 6 | -1.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | VA Tech | +7.5 | L by 16 | -8.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Boston Col | +4.5 | L by 6 | -1.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | NC State | +9.5 | L by 9 | +0.5 |
| VT -7.5 | Open | -5.5 | High | -8.0 |
| Last | -8.0 | Low | -5.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1214 games where the closing line favored the away team by 6.5 to 8.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Virginia Tech won the game 937 times (77.2%).
- The team like Louisville won the game 277 times (22.8%).
- The team like Virginia Tech did better against the spread, going 636-558-20 (53.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1207 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Louisville did better against the spread, going 593-587-27 (50.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -8.0 | -7.5 | -- |
| Open | -6.0 | -6.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 03/05 12:53 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 11:53 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 08:35 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 07:52 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 10:09 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 03/04 10:05 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 06:39 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 03/04 03:38 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
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