NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TCU GTWN
Points 86.6 71.3
Total Points   157.9
Points From 2-Pointers 49.4 32.2
Points From 3-Pointers 19.9 22.9
Points From Free Throws 17.3 16.3
Shooting TCU GTWN
Field Goals Made 31.3 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 58.5 54.8
Field Goal % 53.5% 43.3%
2 Pointers Made 24.7 16.1
2 Pointers Attempted 41.3 32.7
2 Point Shooting % 59.8% 49.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 17.3 22.1
3 Point Shooting % 38.5% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 17.3 16.3
Free Throws Attempted 23.8 22.6
Free Throw % 72.7% 72.0%
Ball Control TCU GTWN
Rebounds 36.0 29.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 19.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 10.1
Turnovers 10.0 13.0
Blocked Shots 4.1 3.1
Steals 8.8 4.8
Fouls 15.8 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: TX Christian

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TCU GTWN
Total Possessions 71.6
Effective Scoring Chances 73.3 68.7
% of Possessions with TCU GTWN
2 Point Attempt 48.8% 39.2%
3 Point Attempt 20.4% 26.5%
Player Fouled 22.0% 22.0%
Turnover 14.0% 18.1%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 12.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken TCU GTWN
Shot Blocked 5.8% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 37.9% 29.3%